Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis for Power Generation Technologies in Afghanistan: A Comparative Techno-Economic Assessment
アフガニスタンにおける発電技術の均等化発電原価分析：比較技術経済評価 (AI 翻訳)
Sayed Lamsoon, Sayedi, Zakirhussian, Farhad, Sayed Habibullah, Hashemi
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文はアフガニスタンにおける6種の発電技術（太陽光、風力、水力、ガス、石炭、バイオマス）の均等化発電原価（LCOE）を比較分析した。水力が最も低いLCOEを示し、次いで大規模太陽光と風力が続く。再生可能技術は経済的競争力を持つと同時に炭素排出ゼロを達成する。感度分析では低コスト資金調達の重要性が示された。
English
This paper calculates the Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for six power generation technologies in Afghanistan, including solar PV, wind, hydropower, gas, coal, and biomass. Results show hydropower has the lowest LCOE, followed by utility-scale solar and wind. Renewable technologies are economically competitive and offer zero operational emissions. Sensitivity analysis highlights the importance of low-cost financing.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
アフガニスタン固有の分析だが、LCOE比較の方法論は日本のエネルギー計画にも応用可能。特に再生可能エネルギーの経済競争力実証は、日本のGX投資判断において参考となる。
In the global GX context
This study provides a comprehensive LCOE comparison for a developing country with abundant renewable resources. It underscores the economic viability of renewables and the critical role of financing costs, which is relevant to global energy transition discussions, especially for emerging economies.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:GX researchers can use this as a case study for LCOE methodology in a developing country context and for validating renewable cost assumptions.
🏢実務担当者:Energy planners in Afghanistan or similar regions can use these cost estimates for investment prioritization and project feasibility assessments.
🏛政策担当者:Afghan policymakers can use the findings to prioritize hydropower and solar investments and design financing mechanisms to lower WACC for renewables.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Abstract : Afghanistan faces significant challenges in achieving reliable, affordable, and sustainable electricity supply while remaining heavily dependent on imported electricity. Despite possessing abundant renewable energy resources, including solar, wind, and hydropower, comprehensive economic assessments of electricity generation technologies under Afghan conditions remain limited. This study presents a comparative Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) analysis of six power generation technologies relevant to Afghanistan’s energy sector: Solar Photovoltaic (PV), Wind, Hydropower, Combined Cycle Gas Turbine (CCGT), Coal-Fired Power Plants, and Biomass. A discounted cash flow methodology is employed using technology-specific technical and economic parameters representative of Afghanistan. The analysis incorporates capital expenditure, operation and maintenance costs, fuel costs, capacity factors, plant lifetimes, and financing conditions. Sensitivity analysis is performed across a range of weighted average cost of capital (WACC) values from 5% to 18% to evaluate the impact of financing risk on generation costs. Results indicate that hydropower exhibits the lowest LCOE, followed by utility-scale solar PV and wind power. Renewable technologies demonstrate strong economic competitiveness while simultaneously achieving near-zero operational carbon emissions. The findings highlight the importance of low-cost financing and provide evidence-based guidance for future energy planning, investment prioritization, and sustainable electricity sector development in Afghanistan.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- Zenodo https://zenodo.org/records/21406020first seen 2026-07-18 04:14:49
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