Mainstreaming Nature-based Solutions for Climate-induced Disaster Risk Reduction in the Philippines’ Build Better More Project: From Vicious to Virtuous Cycles
フィリピンの「Build Better More」プロジェクトにおける気候誘発災害リスク軽減のための自然ベースの解決策の主流化：悪循環から好循環へ (AI 翻訳)
Choy Yee Keong, Lizan E. Perante-Calina, Ramces Dili
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、フィリピンの気候災害リスク軽減における自然ベースの解決策（NbS）の導入不足をシステム失敗と診断。システム思考と因果ループモデルを用いて、ハイブリッドNbS-グレイインフラが経済的・レジリエンス面で優れることを定量的に示し、革新的資金調達、ガバナンス改革、社会的公平性の確保からなる三重の介入策を提案する。
English
This study diagnoses the marginal integration of nature-based solutions (NbS) in the Philippines' climate disaster risk reduction as a systems failure. Using systems thinking and causal loop modeling, it demonstrates that a hybrid NbS-grey infrastructure portfolio yields superior economic and resilience outcomes. It prescribes a triple-track intervention of innovative finance, governance restructuring, and equity safeguards, providing a transferable framework for climate-vulnerable nations.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本でも気候災害リスクとインフラ投資が重要な課題だが、自然資本を考慮した計画立案はまだ発展途上。本論文のシステム枠組みは、日本の国土強靭化やGX政策における自然との共生を評価する示唆を与える。
In the global GX context
This paper provides a rigorous, systems-based framework for integrating nature-based solutions into national infrastructure planning, with implications for disaster risk reduction globally. It offers a blueprint for evaluating hybrid portfolios, relevant to TCFD/ISSB disclosures on climate adaptation and resilience.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:The systems thinking and quantitative dynamic model approach provides a replicable methodology for analyzing natural capital integration in climate adaptation planning.
🏢実務担当者:The hybrid NbS-grey portfolio design and triple-track intervention offer actionable strategies for infrastructure planners and sustainability teams seeking to enhance resilience and reduce long-term costs.
🏛政策担当者:The triple-track framework—innovative finance, governance restructuring, and equity safeguards—offers a concrete policy pathway for mainstreaming NbS in national development plans.
📄 Abstract（原文）
The Philippines confronts an escalating climate crisis, with annual disaster losses projected to reach 7.6% of GDP by 2030. Despite the proven efficacy of nature-based solutions (NbS), their integration into national development planning remains marginal, as epitomised by the flagship “Build Better More” (BBM) project. This study diagnoses this implementation gap as a fundamental systems failure: the systematic undervaluation of critical natural capital. This capital is conceptualised as a synergistic socio-ecological life-support system—the integrated integrity of ecological resilience, abiotic surroundings, and biotic communities (A+B+C=D). Consequently, NbS are treated as peripheral add-ons, perpetuating a self-reinforcing vicious cycle of maladaptive grey infrastructure investment and costly reconstruction. Employing systems thinking and causal loop modelling, we demonstrate how the BBM Project’s current structure actively degrades this foundation (A+B+C=D), locking development into a path of accelerating risk. A quantitative system dynamics model proves that a hybrid NbS-grey portfolio yields vastly superior economic and resilience outcomes. We therefore prescribe a transformative triple-track intervention: (1) innovative finance, for example, resilience bonds; (2) governance restructuring to integrate environmental mandates; and (3) legally embedded equity safeguards such as mandatory Social Equity and Distributional Impact Assessments. This integrated blueprint is designed to dismantle the vicious cycles and initiate stabilising virtuous cycles of socio-ecological resilience. We conclude that the BBM Project’s objectives are unattainable without this foundational institutional shift. While grounded in the Philippines, our diagnostic framework of vicious and virtuous cycles provides a transferable roadmap for climate-vulnerable nations to transition from costly degradation to a climate-resilient future.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://doi.org/10.55845/jos-2026-2197first seen 2026-06-29 07:49:35
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