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外国直接投資とインドのクリーンエネルギー転換：実証的評価

Foreign Investment and Indian Clean Energy Transition: An Empirical Assessment (原題)

Shubham Soni

Zenodoプレプリント2026-11-07#エネルギー転換経営インパクト: 資金調達対象セクター: power
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.24033758
原典: https://zenodo.org/records/24033758
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

インドの1990〜2023年時系列データを用い、FDIと再生可能エネルギー消費の短期・長期関係をARDLモデルで検証。短期ではFDIが再エネ消費に正で有意（β=0.609）だが、長期係数は負で非有意。誤差修正項は有意で年26.5%の均衡調整が示された。FDIの再エネ・クリーン技術への誘導を提言する。

English

Using Indian annual data (1990–2023), this study applies an ARDL framework to test short- and long-run links between FDI and renewable energy consumption. FDI shows a positive, significant short-run effect (β=0.609) but an insignificant long-run coefficient. A significant error-correction term (−0.265) implies ~26.5% annual adjustment toward equilibrium. The authors call for redirecting FDI toward renewables and clean technology.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本のGX文脈では直接の接点は薄いが、新興国へのトランジション・ファイナンスやFDIを通じた脱炭素支援を議論する際の実証的参照点となる。

In the global GX context

Adds empirical evidence to the global debate on whether foreign capital accelerates renewable deployment in emerging markets, relevant to transition-finance and blended-finance discussions under ISSB/TCFD-aligned climate investment strategies.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:新興国におけるFDIと再エネ普及の短期・長期動学をARDLで分析する実証手法の参考になる。

🏢実務担当者:インド市場での再エネ関連投資・調達判断における外国資本の役割を理解する材料になる。

🏛政策担当者:FDI誘致策を再エネ・クリーン技術分野へ誘導する政策設計の根拠として参照できる。

📄 Abstract（原文）

The transition to cleaner energy in India has gained increasing importance given the rising demand for energy, economic development, energy security, and environmental sustainability. Foreign direct investment (FDI) can be an instrument to facilitate this transition by providing capital, technology, managerial expertise, and access to international production networks. The relationship between FDI and renewable energy consumption may differ in the short run and long run. This study empirically investigates the short-run and long-run relationship between foreign direct investment and renewable energy consumption in India using annual time-series data for the period 1990–2023. The dependent variable is renewable energy consumption, and the main explanatory variable is FDI. Trade openness and log GDP per capita are control variables. The study uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) framework to investigate the short-run dynamics, long-run relationship, and the adjustment toward equilibrium. The results indicate a positive and statistically significant short-run link between FDI and renewable energy consumption (β = 0.609, p = .026). While the long-run coefficient of FDI is negative, it is statistically insignificant (β = −1.489, p = .164). The ARDL bounds test has an F-statistic (7.452) that is higher than the 1% upper-bound critical value (7.061), providing strong evidence of a long-run level relationship based on the F-statistic. The associated t-statistic of -3.311, however, is not conclusive. The error-correction coefficient is negative and statistically significant (β = −0.265, p = .003), indicating convergence to the long-run equilibrium. Approximately 26.5% of the disequilibrium is corrected within a year. The findings suggest that there is a positive association between renewable energy consumption and FDI in the short run, but no statistical evidence of a separate long-run relationship between FDI and renewable energy consumption. The study calls for redirecting foreign investment toward renewable energy, clean technologies, infrastructure, and sustained green investment. The study focuses on foreign direct investment, renewable energy consumption in India, the ARDL model, the clean energy transition, error correction, and sustainable development.

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