事実上のグローバリゼーションと法的グローバリゼーション、金融発展、低炭素移行：大陸地域間の異質性を考慮したパネル分析
De Facto vs. De Jure Globalization, Financial Development, and Low-Carbon Transition: Heterogeneous Panel Evidence Across Continental Regions (原題)
Muhammed Fatih YÜRÜK
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
161カ国・1996〜2020年のパネルデータを用い、事実上（de facto）と法的（de jure）の貿易・金融グローバリゼーションがCO2排出に与える影響を分析。CCEMG・AMG推定量とパネル平滑転換回帰を適用し、事実上の貿易グローバリゼーションは一人当たりCO2と正に関連することを示す。政府有効性が高い国ではこの関係が弱まり、再生可能エネルギーにも好影響となる。形式的な開放だけでは環境改善につながらず、制度能力が鍵となる。
English
Using 1996–2020 panel data for 161 countries, this study separates de facto from de jure trade and financial globalization and estimates their effects on per capita CO2 emissions via CCEMG/AMG and panel smooth transition regression. De facto trade globalization is positively linked to emissions, but the relationship weakens and turns negative as government effectiveness rises. Formal openness alone does not improve environmental outcomes; institutional capacity and how integration occurs matter more.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本のGX政策においても、貿易・投資の開放度だけでなく、制度執行能力や政策実効性が脱炭素に影響することを示唆する。SSBJや有報での気候関連開示を進める上で、規制・制度の質が企業の脱炭素行動を左右する点は投資家対応の文脈で参考になる。
In the global GX context
For global disclosure scholarship, this paper reinforces that transition outcomes depend on institutional enforcement capacity, not just formal policy openness—relevant to ISSB/CSRD debates on how regulatory quality shapes corporate climate performance across jurisdictions.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:グローバリゼーションと排出の関係を制度品質で条件付ける実証枠組みを提供する。
🏢実務担当者:進出先・調達先の制度能力が脱炭素リスクと機会に影響する点を考慮すべき。
🏛政策担当者:形式的な貿易自由化だけでなく、環境規制の執行能力強化が排出削減に重要。
📄 Abstract（原文）
This paper examines the environmental effects of de facto and de jure trade and financial globalization in 161 countries over the 1996–2020 period. Unlike studies that rely on aggregate globalization measures, it distinguishes between actual cross-border flows and formal policy openness. The analysis uses CCEMG and AMG estimators to account for cross-sectional dependence and heterogeneous country responses. It also applies a panel smooth transition regression model to assess whether the effect of trade globalization changes with government effectiveness. The baseline results show that de facto trade globalization is positively associated with per capita CO2 emissions. The result is weakly significant in the CCEMG estimates and stronger in the AMG estimates. De facto financial globalization does not show a statistically robust long-run relationship with emissions. De jure trade and financial globalization are generally insignificant once realized flows are included in the model, although their estimated effects vary across alternative estimators. The nonlinear results point to a different pattern. In countries with weak government effectiveness, greater trade globalization is associated with higher emissions. This relationship weakens as institutional capacity improves and becomes negative at higher levels of government effectiveness. A similar transition appears in the renewable-energy model, where trade globalization is more favorable in stronger institutional settings. The results suggest that formal openness alone is unlikely to improve environmental outcomes. The environmental consequences of globalization depend more on how economic integration takes place and on whether public institutions can enforce environmental rules. However, the magnitude and significance of financial and de jure components display sensitivity to estimator choice, highlighting the importance of accounting for slope heterogeneity.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.3390/economies14090409first seen 2026-09-16 04:38:22
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