石油・ガス資源の世界的分布パターン、持続可能性リスク、戦略的備蓄システム

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

🔬研究者:エネルギー転換のマクロな需給予測と移行メカニズムの整理に有用。

🏢実務担当者:エネルギー調達・備蓄戦略の検討材料として参考になる。

🏛政策担当者:エネルギー安全保障と脱炭素の両立を図る政策設計に示唆を与える。

Oil and gas are still the cornerstones of industrial civilization, and despite increasing resource depletion and carbon emission pressures, more than 60% of the world's energy consumption still depends on fossil fuels. The global energy system is currently in a critical phase of “transition and dependence”, characterized by a contradiction between the indispensability of fossil fuels in the short term and the urgency of decarbonization in the long term. This study examines the global oil and gas supply and demand patterns, analyzing resource concentration patterns, “impossible triangle” challenges (energy security, economic affordability, environmental sustainability), and transition paths. The results show that global oil and gas demand will peak at 43 billion tons around 2030, and then gradually decline to 32 billion tons by 2050, while the proportion of zero-carbon energy in the global energy mix will rise from 25% to 55% during the same period. The study points out that carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS) technology, hydrogen integration, and industry-specific alternative strategies are key transformation mechanisms. In this transformation process, strategic reserves and supply chain diversification have become key to ensuring energy security.

• semanticscholar https://www.matec-conferences.org/articles/matecconf/pdf/2026/06/matecconf_amies2026_01003.pdffirst seen 2026-08-23 05:19:00 · last seen 2026-09-22 05:05:34