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Carbon Pricing and Industrial Competitiveness: Cross-Country Panel Analysis

炭素価格付けと産業競争力:クロスカントリーパネル分析 (AI 翻訳)

null Dr. Pritish Chandra Vaish

International Journal of Engineering Technology and Management Sciencesプレプリント2025-12-02#炭素価格Origin: Global
DOI: 10.46647/ijetms.2025.v09i06.007
原典: https://doi.org/10.46647/ijetms.2025.v09i06.007

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、42カ国の2000~2023年のパネルデータを用いて、炭素価格が産業競争力に与える影響を分析。炭素税や排出量取引制度のデータを活用し、製造業の付加価値成長、輸出シェア、比較優位指数を評価。結果、炭素価格は全体として産業競争力を有意に損なわず、特に1トンCO2当たり50ドル未満の水準では輸出パフォーマンスに中立的またはわずかに正の効果が見られた。エネルギー集約的・貿易露出セクターでも影響は限定的で、炭素価格がクリーンな産業構造への移行を促進する可能性を示唆。

English

This study analyzes the impact of carbon pricing on industrial competitiveness using panel data from 42 countries (2000-2023). It finds that carbon pricing does not significantly harm overall competitiveness; moderate levels (below USD 50/tCO2) are associated with neutral or slightly positive effects on manufacturing exports. Even for energy-intensive trade-exposed sectors, negative effects are modest. Results suggest carbon pricing can foster structural shifts toward cleaner industries without undermining competitiveness.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本はGX-ETSやカーボンプライシングの本格導入を検討中。本論文は、国際的なパネル分析により、現行水準の炭素価格が産業競争力を損なわないことを示し、日本の政策設計に示唆を与える。

In the global GX context

This paper contributes to the global policy debate on carbon pricing by providing robust empirical evidence that current carbon pricing levels do not undermine industrial competitiveness, supporting the case for broader adoption of carbon pricing mechanisms.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:This paper offers robust empirical evidence using panel data and advanced econometric methods, valuable for researchers studying carbon pricing and competitiveness.

🏛政策担当者:Policymakers can use these findings to support the implementation of carbon pricing without significant competitive disadvantage, especially at moderate price levels.

📄 Abstract(原文)

This study rigorously investigates the impact of carbon pricing on industrial competitiveness by analysing an unbalanced panel of 42 countries from 2000 to 2023. It draws on comprehensive data regarding explicit carbon taxes, emissions trading systems (ETS), and effective carbon rates from reputable sources, including the World Bank Carbon Pricing Dashboard, OECD Effective Carbon Rates, World Development Indicators (WDI), and UN Comtrade trade statistics. To assess industrial competitiveness, we employ key metrics such as manufacturing value-added growth, the share of manufacturing exports, and revealed comparative advantage in energy-intensive and trade-exposed (EITE) sectors. Through the use of advanced two-way fixed effects (FE) and system generalised method of moments (System GMM) estimations, our findings reveal that carbon pricing does not significantly detract from overall industrial competitiveness. Moreover, we observe that moderate carbon pricing levels—specifically those below USD 50 per ton of CO₂—are associated with statistically insignificant or even slightly positive effects on manufacturing export performance. While EITE sectors present small negative coefficients, the magnitude of these impacts remains modest and largely inconsequential. These results strongly indicate that, at current levels, carbon pricing does not inherently undermine industrial competitiveness. In fact, it may foster structural advancements toward cleaner and more technologically advanced industries. It is important to note that the dataset is unbalanced, as some variables lack observations for every country-year due to variations in data availability concerning carbon pricing, trade, and macroeconomic indicators. A complete list of countries included in this analysis is available in Appendix A.

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