Incorporating an investment multiplier into DICE supports more rapid decarbonization
DICEモデルへの投資乗数の導入はより迅速な脱炭素化を支持する (AI 翻訳)
Anders Fremstad, Mark Paul
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
この論文は、統合評価モデルDICEにケインズ型の投資乗数を導入し、脱炭素化投資が雇用と生産を促進する可能性を示す。標準的なDICEよりも迅速な脱炭素化が必要であり、乗数が0.75以上で1.5°C~2°Cの経路が支持される。また、迅速な脱炭素化が経済成長を加速する可能性を示唆している。
English
This paper incorporates Keynesian investment multipliers into the DICE model, showing that climate investments can increase employment and output. Results support faster decarbonization than standard DICE recommends, with pathways consistent with 1.5°C–2°C for multipliers of 0.75 or greater, and suggest rapid decarbonization can lead to faster economic growth.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
この研究は、日本のGX政策において脱炭素化投資の経済効果を正当化するエビデンスとなる。特に、グリーン成長戦略やGXリーグでの投資促進議論に貢献する可能性がある。
In the global GX context
This research challenges neoclassical IAM assumptions, providing a Keynesian perspective that strengthens the case for aggressive climate investment. It is relevant to global debates on the economic impacts of decarbonization, such as in IPCC and UNFCCC contexts.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Highlights the importance of incorporating demand-side effects in IAMs for more accurate policy guidance.
🏢実務担当者:Provides evidence that climate investments can have positive macroeconomic effects, supporting corporate investment in decarbonization.
🏛政策担当者:Suggests that rapid decarbonization is economically beneficial, supporting stronger policy targets.
📄 Abstract(原文)
Abstract Integrated assessment models (IAMs) assume that economies operate on the efficiency frontier, resulting in hard tradeoffs between decarbonization, consumption, and investment. Meanwhile, Keynesian models recognize that climate investments can increase employment and output today. This paper attempts to bridge these literatures through a simple modification of the most well-known IAM. We review the neoclassical economic assumptions underpinning dynamic integrated climate-economy model (DICE) and incorporate a range of investment multipliers into DICE that reflect economists’ uncertainty about how climate investments affect output. Our results suggest that decarbonization should be undertaken more rapidly than standard DICE recommends and provides support for pathways within the range of 1.5 °C–2 °C for investment multipliers of 0.75 or greater. The addition of an investment multiplier also suggests that rapid decarbonization can lead to faster economic growth.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- crossref https://doi.org/10.1088/2753-3751/ae6595first seen 2026-05-14 22:04:03
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