Reliable Britain: Report No. 1. What Britain's electricity would have cost on gas
Lyon, Richard
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
英電力の脱炭素化が2002〜24年に電気料金へ与えた追加コストを推計した報告書。ネットゼロ政策により総額1,403億ポンド（世帯平均2,286ポンド）の負担増と試算。うち炭素価格が829億ポンドを占め、回収された税は237億ポンドにとどまる。再エネは補助金・系統費1,474億ポンドに対し卸価格低下で1,007億ポンドを相殺し、純額467億ポンドのコストと結論。
English
This report models the added cost of Britain's net-zero electricity drive from 2002 to 2024, estimating £140.3bn in extra bills (£2,286 per household). Carbon pricing accounts for £82.9bn, of which only £23.7bn was collected as tax. Renewables cost £147.4bn in subsidies and grid costs against £100.7bn saved via lower wholesale prices, a net £46.7bn.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本のGX政策・SSBJ開示とは直接の接点は薄いが、脱炭素政策のコスト負担を可視化する議論は、日本のエネルギー政策や電気料金負担をめぐる世論形成の参考になる。炭素価格の「税収 vs 価格転嫁」の区別は、日本でのカーボンプライシング議論にも示唆を与える。
In the global GX context
Offers a counterpoint to mainstream decarbonization-cost narratives by quantifying the consumer cost of carbon pricing and renewables support in the UK. Relevant to global debates on carbon pricing design, energy affordability, and the political economy of net-zero policy amid CSRD/ISSB-driven transition disclosure.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a transparent, assumption-bounded cost-accounting framework for attributing electricity price increases to decarbonization policy.
🏢実務担当者:Useful for understanding how carbon pricing and renewable support feed into power costs and procurement exposure.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights the distributional cost of carbon pricing and renewables support, relevant to affordability and policy design debates.
📄 Abstract（原文）
What has the drive to net zero added to the cost of Britain's electricity since 2002? Net zero added £140.3bn to Britain's electricity bills between 2002 and 2024. That is £2,286 for the average household; businesses and public bodies bore the rest. Different reasonable assumptions put the total between £120.8bn and £152.7bn. This is the electricity bill alone. On the gas-led alternative, dearer gas would also have raised gas bills for homes and industry, by £18.2bn, or £9.5bn once you allow for the extra that British gas producers would have earned. That does not change the answer. Carbon pricing accounts for £82.9bn of it. £23.7bn of that was collected as tax; the other £59.2bn raised the power price without being collected. Readers who see carbon pricing as making the polluter pay can take it out. Renewables cost more than they saved, except in 2012 and the gas crisis of 2021–23. They cost £147.4bn in subsidies and grid costs, and saved £100.7bn by lowering wholesale prices: a net £46.7bn. All figures are modelled, for 2002–24, in 2024 prices. Version 1.0.1 corrects one sentence on p.17 (see Corrections at richardlyon.net/research/reliable-britain/). No figure changes. Version 1.0.2 corrects one sentence on p.17 and the heading on p.18 (see Corrections at richardlyon.net/research/reliable-britain/). No figure changes.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- Zenodo https://zenodo.org/records/23666648first seen 2026-10-27 04:14:05 · last seen 2026-11-06 04:12:23
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