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Energy Resilience, Digitalization, and Sustainable Development: Evidence on Carbon Emissions and Growth Trade‐Offs in BRICS Economies

Zeeshan Khan, Xufeng Zhu

Sustainable Development📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-10-27#エネルギー転換Origin: CN
DOI: 10.1002/sd.71825
原典: https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.71825

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

BRICS諸国を対象に、エネルギー強靭性（供給インフラ信頼性・エネルギー集約度・供給源多様性の合成指数）が炭素排出と持続可能開発に与える影響を、モーメント分位点回帰等で分析した実証研究。エネルギー強靭性は排出を減らし持続可能開発を高める一方、デジタル化は排出を減らすが持続可能開発を低下させ、生態的コストが開発便益を上回る可能性を示す。経済成長に伴い排出は加速的に増加し、標本内にEKCの転換点は確認されなかった。

English

This study examines how a composite energy resilience index (delivery reliability, energy intensity exposure, supply diversity) affects carbon emissions and a composite sustainable development measure across BRICS economies, using method-of-moments quantile regression with fixed effects. Energy resilience lowers emissions and raises sustainable development across the distribution, while digitalization cuts emissions but reduces sustainable development, suggesting ecological costs outweigh development gains. Emissions rise at an increasing rate with growth, with no EKC turning point found.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

新興国におけるエネルギー強靭性と脱炭素の両立という論点は、日本の資源エネルギー政策や企業の調達リスク・移行戦略を考える上で参照価値がある。ただし開示制度やSSBJとの直接接続はなく、日本のGX実務への示唆は間接的。

In the global GX context

Adds emerging-market empirical evidence to the growth-environment trade-off debate relevant to transition finance narratives in BRICS, though it does not engage TCFD/ISSB/CSRD disclosure frameworks directly. Useful as context for how resilience and digitalization interact with decarbonization pathways outside advanced economies.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:エネルギー強靭性の合成指数設計と分位点回帰による分布依存効果の推定手法が参考になる。

🏢実務担当者:新興国サプライチェーンや調達先のエネルギー強靭性・移行リスク評価の背景理解に資する。

🏛政策担当者:デジタル化と環境政策の厳格化が短期的に開発と排出に与えるトレードオフを政策設計に反映すべき。

📄 Abstract（原文）

ABSTRACT This study explores the growth‐environment trade‐off for the BRICS economies to trace how energy resilience influences carbon emissions and sustainable development, a composite measure of environmental, social, and economic outcomes. Energy resilience is measured as a composite index that captures three aspects of the energy system: technical reliability in delivery infrastructure, exposure through energy intensity, and the diversity of supply sources. In addition, we include digitalization, economic growth, environmental innovation, natural resources, financial development, and globalization in the analysis. Stationarity is confirmed with a panel unit root test that allows structural break, heterogeneity and cross‐sectional dependence, while the method of moment quantile regression with fixed effects is estimated along with panel‐corrected standard errors and panel granger noncausality tests. The findings suggest that energy resilience leads to more sustainable development and lower carbon emissions across the whole distribution, whereas digitalization decreases carbon emissions but also reduces sustainable development, indicating that its ecological costs outweigh its development gains. Sustainable development is driven by financial development, natural resources, and globalization, whereas environmental policy stringency reduces it in the short term. Carbon emissions increase with economic growth at an increasing rate and show no environmental Kuznets curve turning point in the sample, whereas environmental innovation reduces emissions most strongly at higher quantiles. Our analysis reveals that BRICS economies need a series of policies that can balance growth–environment trade‐offs for sustainability.

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