Energy security index towards net-zero emissions in Nigeria
ナイジェリアにおけるネットゼロ排出に向けたエネルギー安全保障指標 (AI 翻訳)
Wasiu Kunle Jimoh, Athikom Bangviwat, Pipat Chaiwiwatworakul, Chumnong Sorapipatana, Piyatida Trinuruk, Pumyos Vallikul
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
ナイジェリアのエネルギー移行計画に基づき、9つの指標からなる複合エネルギー安全保障指標（ESI）を構築し、2000年から2060年までの歴史的・予測的評価を行った。シナリオ分析により、2030年以降は回復が見込まれるが、楽観シナリオが最も高い成果を示す。政策立案者への投資優先順位付けや移行モニタリングへの活用を提案している。
English
This study constructs a composite Energy Security Index (ESI) for Nigeria using nine indicators across availability, resilience, and sustainability & affordability, analyzing historical (2000-2024) and projected trends to 2060 under optimistic, BAU, and pessimistic scenarios. Results show recovery from 2030, with the optimistic scenario performing best. The framework aids policymakers in prioritizing investments and monitoring transition progress.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本のエネルギー政策（特にエネルギー基本計画やGX推進戦略）と比較可能な指標構築の事例として参考になる。ナイジェリアの状況は日本と異なるが、エネルギー安全保障と脱炭素の両立を測る枠組みは、日本のエネルギー政策評価にも示唆を与える。
In the global GX context
This paper provides a composite index approach to track energy security in a developing country context, complementing global frameworks like the IEA's energy security indicators. It offers a methodology that can be adapted for other emerging economies and contributes to the literature on just transitions and energy planning.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a replicable methodology for constructing energy security indices in developing countries, useful for comparative studies.
🏢実務担当者:Offers a framework for energy companies and utilities to assess resilience and sustainability in emerging markets.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need for infrastructure investment and diversification to improve energy security, relevant for national planning.
📄 Abstract（原文）
This study evaluates Nigeria’s energy security within the framework of the Nigeria Energy Transition Plan by constructing a composite Energy Security Index (ESI) using nine indicators grouped into availability, resilience, and sustainability & affordability. Historical data (2000–2024) and projected trends to 2060 were standardized using a min–max method and aggregated through linear weighting. Scenario and sensitivity analyses were applied using Optimistic, Business-as-Usual (BAU), and Pessimistic pathways. The results show that availability declined due to infrastructure deterioration, refinery inefficiencies, and rising import dependence. Resilience remained persistently weak, constrained by grid instability, limited diversification, and low system redundancy. Sustainability & affordability also underperformed historically because of fossil-fuel dependence and slow renewable energy adoption. From 2030 onward, all scenarios indicate recovery, though at different rates. Resilience improves first through diversification and infrastructure upgrades, followed by availability gains as domestic supply expands and import dependence declines. Sustainability rises more rapidly after 2030, supported by renewable deployment and decarbonization measures. By 2060, the Optimistic scenario records the strongest overall performance, while BAU shows moderate progress, and the Pessimistic pathway remains constrained. The framework can support policymakers in prioritizing investments, monitoring transition progress, and identifying future energy security risks.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202672006001/pdffirst seen 2026-07-25 04:56:45
🔔 こうした論文の新着を逃したくない方は キーワードアラート に登録（無料・3キーワードまで）。
gxceed は公開メタデータに基づく研究支援データセットです。要約・翻訳・解説は AI 支援で生成されています。 最終的な解釈・検証は利用者が原典資料に基づいて行うことを前提とします。