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Climate Vulnerability and the Energy Poverty Trap in Africa

気候脆弱性とアフリカのエネルギー貧困の罠 (AI 翻訳)

Eric Xaverie Possi Tebeng, Arnold Dilane MOMOU TCHINDA, Cyntia Pamela Mbouga

Sustainable Development📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-07-01#気候リスクOrigin: Global対象セクター: power
DOI: 10.1002/sd.71374
原典: https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.71374

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は、気候変動への脆弱性がアフリカ諸国におけるエネルギー貧困を構造的に悪化させる要因であるかを検証する。2000-2020年の44カ国のパネルデータを用いた固定効果推定や操作変数法の結果、気候脆弱性の高まりが電力やクリーン調理燃料へのアクセスを有意に低下させることが示された。特に都市部でこの効果が顕著であり、集中型エネルギーインフラの気候リスクへの曝露が一因である。結論として、エネルギー政策への気候レジリエンス統合の重要性を強調している。

English

This paper investigates whether climate vulnerability structurally drives energy poverty in Africa. Using panel data from 44 African countries (2000-2020) with fixed effects and instrumental variables, it finds that higher climate vulnerability significantly reduces access to electricity and clean cooking fuels, especially in urban areas with centralized infrastructure. The results highlight the need to integrate climate resilience into energy policies and strengthen decentralized systems.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

この研究はアフリカに焦点を当てるが、日本の国際協力や気候変動適応策の文脈で重要な示唆を与える。気候脆弱性がエネルギーアクセスを阻害するメカニズムを実証し、日本のODAや技術協力におけるレジリエントなエネルギーシステム構築の必要性を示唆する。また、SSBJでの物理的リスク開示の重要性を間接的に支持する。

In the global GX context

This paper provides empirical evidence on how climate vulnerability exacerbates energy poverty, relevant for global climate adaptation and just transition discussions. It underscores the importance of climate-proofing energy infrastructure, a topic increasingly addressed in TCFD/ISSB frameworks through physical risk disclosure. The findings also inform international climate finance strategies for developing countries.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides rigorous panel data evidence on climate-energy poverty linkages, useful for researchers studying climate adaptation and energy access in developing regions.

🏢実務担当者:Highlights the need for climate-resilient energy planning and decentralized solutions, relevant for organizations working on energy access in climate-vulnerable areas.

🏛政策担当者:Suggests integrating climate resilience into national energy policies and international climate finance to address the energy poverty trap.

📄 Abstract(原文)

ABSTRACT Energy poverty remains one of the most persistent development challenges across African economies. At the same time, climate change is increasingly disrupting energy systems and infrastructure. This paper investigates whether climate vulnerability acts as a structural driver of energy poverty in Africa. Using a panel dataset of 44 African countries over the period 2000–2020, we examine how exposure to climate risks affects access to modern energy services. The empirical analysis combines fixed‐effects estimations with Driscoll–Kraay corrections and instrumental variable techniques to address potential endogeneity concerns. The results show that higher climate vulnerability significantly reduces access to electricity and clean cooking fuels. The effect is particularly pronounced in urban areas, where centralized energy infrastructures appear highly exposed to climate hazards such as droughts, floods, and water stress. These findings suggest that climate risks can undermine ongoing electrification efforts and deepen structural energy poverty in developing economies. The results remain robust across alternative specifications and measures of energy poverty. Overall, the study highlights the importance of integrating climate resilience into energy policies. Strengthening decentralized energy systems and improving institutional capacity appear essential to ensure sustainable and equitable energy access in climate‐vulnerable regions.

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