Prim‑Lex Carbon Market: Seven Luminaires Synchronization——Temporal Governance of the Global Carbon Pricing System

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

🔬研究者:Introduces a novel synchronization metric for carbon market timing, offering a mathematical foundation for future empirical work on market coupling.

🏢実務担当者:The Carbon Price Anchor mechanism may inform corporate carbon hedging strategies across multiple jurisdictions.

🏛政策担当者:Provides a quantifiable policy tool for coordinating carbon price adjustments across linked markets, essential for Article 6 and international carbon market integration.

Global carbon markets are undergoing a historic transformation from fragmentation toward interconnection. As of 2026, 41 emissions trading systems (ETS) are now in force worldwide, with another 16 under development or consideration, covering 26% of global greenhouse gas emissions across jurisdictions that together represent 63% of global GDP. However, the rapid expansion of carbon markets has not been accompanied by a commensurate improvement in governance efficiency—there exists a severe rhythm mismatch between carbon price adjustment cycles and industrial investment return cycles, resulting in inefficient capital allocation and hesitant corporate decarbonization decisions. Based on the Seven Luminaires·Seven Rhythms pillar of the eight-dimensional framework of Prim ‑ Lex theory (Economic Climatology), this paper applies, for the first time, Kuramoto coupled-oscillator synchronization theory to the temporal governance of global carbon markets. It constructs a seven-cycle coupled-oscillator dynamics equation, proposes the Seven Luminaires synchronization degree σ_SevenLuminaires as a unified quantitative criterion for the temporal governance health of global carbon markets, and derives the dynamic pathway from the current severely desynchronized state (σ_SevenLuminaires ≈ 0.35—0.50) to a healthy coherent state (σ_SevenLuminaires ≥ 0.85). The paper further proposes a dynamic “Carbon Price Anchor” (CPA) calibration mechanism as a policy tool for multi-period phase locking. The research shows that through three rounds of policy interventions during the 2026—2027 “critical phase adjustment window,” the Seven Luminaires synchronization degree can be raised above 0.70, and is expected to exceed 0.85 by 2030. This paper provides a quantifiable, programmable, and auditable mathematical language for the transition of global carbon markets from “fragmented operation” to “temporal governance interconnection,” and offers a systematic temporal governance tool for international climate finance and industrial carbon compliance hedging.

• Zenodo https://zenodo.org/records/20787252first seen 2026-06-22 04:26:44