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The green energy transition: systemic contradictions and hidden costs

グリーンエネルギー転換:システム的矛盾と隠されたコスト (AI 翻訳)

D. Davydov, K. Nikitin, A. A. Zagoruyko, A. A. Tatevosyan

Power engineering (Barrington, Ill.)📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-03-28#エネルギー転換
DOI: 10.30724/1998-9903-2026-28-1-22-41
原典: https://doi.org/10.30724/1998-9903-2026-28-1-22-41

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は、グリーンエネルギー転換の隠れた技術的・経済的・環境的コストを体系的に分析。風力・太陽光・水素・CCUSなどの技術について、EROIやLCOE、ライフサイクル全体の環境負荷を評価し、多くの技術が未成熟で高いコストと廃棄物問題を抱えることを指摘。また、インバーター型電源の大量導入が系統安定性を脅かすリスクや、リチウム・コバルト採掘に伴う社会的・環境的影響を浮き彫りにし、バランスの取れたアプローチと政策の必要性を訴える。

English

This paper critically examines the hidden technological, economic, and environmental costs of the green energy transition. It assesses wind, solar, hydrogen, and CCUS technologies using metrics like EROI, LCOE, and lifecycle carbon footprint, finding many still immature with high costs and waste issues. It also highlights grid stability risks from inverter-based generation and social/environmental impacts of critical mineral mining, calling for balanced, science-based approaches and systemic analysis.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本では、GX政策の推進と同時に、再エネ大量導入に伴う系統安定性や廃棄物処理、資源調達リスクへの懸念が高まっている。本論文はそうした批判的視点を提供し、政策立案や企業戦略において楽観的な見通しに偏らない検討を促す。

In the global GX context

Globally, this paper contributes to the growing debate on the real costs and systemic risks of the green transition. It provides a sobering perspective that complements optimistic net-zero roadmaps, emphasizing the need for lifecycle analysis and grid reliability considerations in climate disclosure and transition finance frameworks.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a comprehensive critical review that can inform future research on the hidden costs and systemic challenges of energy transition technologies.

🏢実務担当者:Highlights lifecycle impacts and grid stability risks that corporate sustainability teams should consider when evaluating renewable energy investments and decarbonization strategies.

🏛政策担当者:Offers cautionary evidence that can help design more robust, balanced policies that account for technological maturity, waste management, and system inertia.

📄 Abstract(原文)

THE RELEVANCE of this article lies in its timely and critical reassessment of the "green" energy trend. It serves as a "sober voice," advocating for a balanced evaluation, comprehensive risk assessment, and a shift from ideological approaches to scientificallygrounded, holistic analysis aimed at achieving genuine sustainability. This makes it a valuable contribution not only to academic discourse but also to the development of practical government policies and corporate strategies. THE PURPOSE . This paper conducts a comprehensive critical analysis of the modern trends, technological solutions, and systemic challenges within the green energy sector and decarbonization efforts. It aims to evaluate their actual effectiveness, economic viability, and full lifecycle environmental impacts, moving beyond the prevailing optimistic narratives to provide a balanced assessment. METHODS . The research employs a systematic review and comparative analysis of a wide range of scientific studies and technological case studies. The methodology critically examines wind, solar, and hydrogen energy, carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) technologies, hybrid systems, and various energy storage solutions. The assessment incorporates key technological, economic, and environmental metrics, including energy return on investment (EROI), levelized cost of energy (LCOE), capital and operational expenditures (CAPEX/OPEX), and carbon footprint across the entire value chain. RESULTS . The study identifies significant contradictions and systemic challenges in the transition to renewables. It demonstrates that many promoted solutions, such as hydrogen economy and CCUS, remain at early development stages, characterized by high costs, low EROI, and unresolved end-of-life waste management issues for wind turbine blades, solar panels, and batteries. The analysis confirms the non-viability of renewable energy sources in regions with low natural potential without substantial government subsidies. Furthermore, the mass integration of inverter-based generation reduces the overall system inertia, creating substantial risks for grid stability and reliability. The research also highlights severe environmental and social costs associated with the extraction of critical materials like lithium and cobalt, revealing a hidden negative footprint of the green energy supply chain. CONCLUSIONS . The study concludes that the declared benefits of the green energy transition are often offset by a complex array of hidden technological, economic, and environmental problems. The radical transformation of energy systems is not an unequivocally positive process and presents multifaceted challenges. It necessitates a balanced approach, deep systemic analysis, and the development of comprehensive strategies involving the state, business, and scientific community, rather than merely following trends. A critical revision of current assessment methodologies is required to fully account for the entire lifecycle of green technologies and their true systemic costs.

🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース

gxceed は公開メタデータに基づく研究支援データセットです。要約・翻訳・解説は AI 支援で生成されています。 最終的な解釈・検証は利用者が原典資料に基づいて行うことを前提とします。