AtlantECO Deliverable - D08.4 - Report on socio- economic predictions
アトラントECO成果物 - D08.4 - 社会経済予測に関する報告書 (AI 翻訳)
Gillian B. Ainsworth, Germain Bénard, Francesco Bosello, Donata Melaku Canu, Elisa Delpiazzo, Jacobo Feás, Thomas L. Frölicher, Marion Gehlen, R.M. Key, Simone Libralato, Katherine C. Longo, Marco Reale, Jonathan Rogerson, Gabriele Standardi, Alessandro Tagliabue, Marcello Vichi, S. Villasante, Mathieu Vrac, Serena Zunino
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本報告書は、大西洋の生態系サービスに対する将来の変化を予測するため、気候予測、生物地球化学モデル、社会経済分析を統合する。マクロ経済モデリングと参加型マッピングを用いて、漁業などの供給サービスや炭素隔離などの調整サービスのトレードオフを評価する。また、マイクロプラスチックの生産と拡散の予測も含む。
English
This report integrates climate projections, biogeochemical models, and socio-economic analysis to anticipate changes in Atlantic ecosystem services. It uses macroeconomic modeling (ICES framework) and participatory mapping to assess trade-offs in provisioning and regulating services, including fisheries and carbon sequestration. Ancillary work includes projections of microplastic production and diffusion.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
本論文は欧州プロジェクトの成果であり、日本のGX文脈（SSBJや有報）とは直接関係しないが、生態系サービスの社会経済的評価手法は、日本の統合報告書や環境価値評価に応用可能性がある。
In the global GX context
This European project report contributes to climate science and ecosystem services modeling. While not directly addressing corporate decarbonization or disclosure, its integrated socio-economic framework offers methods for valuing natural capital that could inform future ESG and transition planning.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides an integrated modeling approach linking climate scenarios to ecosystem services and socio-economic outcomes.
📄 Abstract（原文）
The Work Package 8 (WP8) of the AtlantECO project focuses on anticipating future changes in basin-scale Atlantic ecosystem services in response to environmental and socio-economic drivers. In alignment with AtlantECO's Objective 4, WP8 aims to deliver a systemic approach to support science-informed decision-making through scenario development, predictive modeling, and integrated analyses of ecosystem health and services. WP8 combines climate projections, biogeochemical models, and socio-economic analysis to evaluate risks of tipping points, regime shifts, and changes in provisioning, supporting, and regulating services such as carbon sequestration, nutrient recycling, and primary production. A significant portion of the results was already achieved prior to the official deadline and presented in previous interim reports an deliverables. However, as this is the final report, these results will be revisited and summarized in the relevant sections to ensure completeness and coherence. WP8 is structured around four main deliverables, each addressing a critical aspect of the prediction and evaluation of ecosystem services under future climate and socio-economic scenarios. Here we present the deliverable D8.4 : Report on socio-economic predictions. This report integrates economic and social projections into the ecosystem services framework. It includes macro-economic modeling using the ICES framework to simulate future trajectories of provisioning services (notably fisheries) and assesses socio-cultural values through participatory mapping and surveys. The combined economic and cultural valuation will provide a comprehensive picture of future ecosystem service trade-offs. An ancillary work proposes projections of microplastic production and diffusion in the Atlantic linked to social economic drivers of development.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19576959first seen 2026-05-05 19:13:39
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