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Actor dynamics and transition pathways: a mapping of Iran’s energy systems

アクターのダイナミクスと移行経路:イランのエネルギーシステムのマッピング (AI 翻訳)

Amir Hossein Ghasemi, Amir Mohammad Moghani, Abbas Maleki

Academia green energy.📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-07-21#エネルギー転換
DOI: 10.20935/acadenergy8437
原典: https://doi.org/10.20935/acadenergy8437

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

石油依存国におけるエネルギー転換の課題を、技術経済モデルではなく社会政治構造に着目して分析。イランを事例に、既存の国家アクターと新興の半自律的アクターやイノベーションネットワークの対立から移行経路が形成されると主張。系統的マッピング手法で移行アリーナを可視化し、公正な移行の重要性を強調。

English

This paper analyzes energy transition in oil-rich countries, focusing on socio-political structures rather than techno-economic models. Using Iran as a case, it maps the transition arena, highlighting the contest between incumbent state actors and emerging semi-autonomous actors and innovation networks. It argues that transition pathways emerge from this dynamic, emphasizing a just transition leveraging solar potential.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本では、エネルギー転換が技術経済的議論に偏りがちだが、本論文は社会政治的要因の重要性を示唆。日本の地域エネルギー政策や利害関係者分析に示唆を与える可能性がある。

In the global GX context

This paper contributes to global energy transition scholarship by highlighting socio-political dynamics in fossil-fuel-dependent states, complementing techno-economic models. It offers a framework for analyzing actor dynamics that could inform transition governance in other contexts.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a socio-political framework for analyzing energy transition pathways in resource-dependent countries.

🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need to consider non-state actors and innovation networks in energy transition planning.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Introduction: Oil-rich countries face complex challenges in the global energy transition, with mounting pressure to diversify. Current transition models in fossil-fuel-rich states have two key limitations: they are predominantly techno-economic, ignoring entrenched socio-political structures—the petro-state complex—that resist change, and they treat the state as monolithic, overlooking emerging semi-autonomous actors and innovation networks (e.g., digital communities, tech startups) that could disrupt the status quo. This gap hinders understanding of non-linear, socially driven pathways. The transition is an imperative for resource-dependent nations due to finite hydrocarbon reserves and likely binding climate legislation restricting future extraction. Materials and methods: To address this, we employ a systematic mapping approach, categorizing and tracking influence, resources, and policy positions of both incumbent state actors and emerging semi-autonomous actors and innovation networks to map the transition arena. Results: Focusing on Iran, results show that its pathway will emerge from the dynamic contest between a resistant structure and emerging forces. Furthermore, energy transition governance actors were classified into incumbent state actors, renewable-energy actors, emerging semi-autonomous actors, international actors, affected publics, and sanction-induced innovation networks. Conclusions: The aim is not merely to switch energy sources but to navigate a just transition that leverages the nation’s vast human and natural resources—including immense solar potential—to build a resilient, equitable, sustainable future, starting with a clear map of the actors shaping its course.

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