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プリム・レックス理論と国際エネルギー機関:エネルギー安全保障から気候収容力制約へ——グローバルエネルギーガバナンスの8次元再構築

Prim-Lex Theory and the International Energy Agency: From Energy Security to Climate Carrying Capacity Constraints——Eight-Dimensional Restructuring of Global Energy Governance (原題)

Shen Xiaowang

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)プレプリント2026-08-01#エネルギー転換
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.21744154
原典: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21744154

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は、IEAのエネルギー見通しが気候収容力を物理的制約として十分に組み込んでいないと批判し、プリム・レックス理論に基づくREMCモデルとGCSOS枠組みを提案する。「エネルギー安全保障」を気候制約下での持続可能な運用能力と再定義し、エネルギー代謝赤字の概念を導入。再生可能エネルギー配置の8次元最適化スキームを設計し、2026年のIEA報告を政策窓口として、気候収容力をエネルギー安全保障の新たな定義次元とすることを提唱する。

English

This paper critiques the IEA's energy outlook for inadequately incorporating climate carrying capacity as a physical constraint. It proposes the REMC model and GCSOS framework based on Prim-Lex Theory, redefining 'energy security' as sustainable operational capacity under climate constraints. It introduces the concept of 'energy metabolic deficit' and designs an eight-dimensional optimization scheme for renewable energy layout, using the 2026 IEA reports as a policy window to advocate for climate carrying capacity as a defining dimension of energy security.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本のGX政策(GX推進戦略、エネルギー基本計画)は国際エネルギー需給と連動するため、IEAの枠組み再構築論は日本のエネルギー政策立案に示唆を与える。特に、気候収容力を明示的に組み込む視点は、日本のエネルギー安全保障論議に新たな枠組みを提供する。

In the global GX context

This paper contributes to global energy governance scholarship by proposing a novel theoretical framework that integrates climate carrying capacity into energy security definitions. It offers a structured approach for international bodies like the IEA to align energy outlooks with climate constraints, relevant to global climate policy and transition finance discussions.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a theoretical framework for integrating climate carrying capacity into energy governance models.

🏢実務担当者:Offers conceptual tools for aligning corporate energy strategies with climate constraints.

🏛政策担当者:Suggests a new dimension for energy security that incorporates climate limits, relevant for policy design.

📄 Abstract(原文)

The International Energy Agency's (IEA) World Energy Outlook series serves as the core reference document for global energy policy-making. However, the IEA's energy outlook framework has always prioritized "energy security" and has failed to adequately incorporate climate carrying capacity as a physical hard constraint. "Energy security" is defined as "access to adequate, reliable, and diversified energy supplies at affordable prices"——a human-centric definition that ignores the physical limits of the Earth system regarding energy metabolism: the waste heat emissions from fossil fuel combustion cannot indefinitely exceed the atmosphere's radiative cooling capacity, and the carbon sink's absorption of CO₂ cannot indefinitely exceed its biogeochemical capacity. Based on the complete theoretical system of Prim-Lex Theory (Economic Climatology)——the Fourfold Prim-Fire (Physical Prim-Fire, Animal Prim-Fire, Plant Prim-Fire, and Prim-Fire of Mind), the GC⁴A three-tier governance architecture, the Five-Element dynamic coupling equations, the Eight-Dimensional Framework, and the Prim-Nexus Guidance——this paper proposes to reconstruct the global energy governance framework using the REMC (Regional Economic Metabolism Cap) model and the GCSOS (Global Climate Safe Operating Space) framework. It redefines "energy security" as "the sustainable operational capacity of the energy system under the hard constraints of climate carrying capacity," and proposes the concept of "energy metabolic deficit"——converting each country's energy consumption structure into REMC metabolic deficit accounting. This paper designs an eight-dimensional optimization scheme for renewable energy layout——using GCSOS three-color zoning to guide the global spatial configuration of solar, wind, geothermal, and other renewable energy sources. Using the 2026 IEA World Energy Outlook and World Energy Investment Report as the policy window, it demonstrates that climate carrying capacity should become the new defining dimension of energy security. This paper systematically elaborates the specific applications, mathematical expressions, data collection sources, and empirical cases of each dimension of the Eight-Dimensional Framework in energy governance, providing a complete mathematical foundation and operational pathway for the transition of global energy governance from "fossil energy security" to "renewable energy security under climate carrying capacity constraints."

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