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Planning for a Net-Zero Future: Evolution of Electricity System Models

ネットゼロの未来への計画:電力システムモデルの進化 (AI 翻訳)

Tarun Sharma, Praveen P., Abhishek Das, Balachandra Patil

Annual Review of Environment and Resources📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-05-29#エネルギー転換Origin: Global
DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-121124-025353
原典: https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-121124-025353

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は、電力システムがネットゼロへ移行する際の課題と、それに対応するモデルの進化をレビューする。再生可能エネルギーの統合、座礁資産、社会的受容性、地政学的リスクなどの新たな課題に対応するため、多様なモデルが開発されてきた。著者らは、これらのモデルの共進化を整理し、将来の計画立案におけるギャップを指摘する。

English

This paper reviews the evolution of electricity system models in the context of the global transition to net-zero carbon emissions. It highlights challenges such as renewable integration, stranded assets, social acceptance, and geopolitics, and discusses how models have adapted. The authors identify gaps in current planning tools and emphasize the need for more comprehensive decision support.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本も2050年ネットゼロ目標を掲げ、電力システムの脱炭素化を進めている。本レビューは、日本が直面する再生可能エネルギーの大量導入や系統安定化、投資判断におけるモデル活用の参考となる。特に、座礁資産や社会的受容性など日本でも重要な課題を扱っている。

In the global GX context

This review is globally relevant as countries and utilities plan for net-zero power systems. It synthesizes modeling approaches that account for emerging challenges like stranded assets, climate resilience, and material security, which are central to the ISSB and TCFD frameworks. The identified gaps can guide future research and policy development.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Researchers in energy systems and climate modeling can use this review to identify underexplored areas and opportunities for methodological innovation.

🏢実務担当者:Utility planners and system operators can gain insights into the range of models available for long-term decarbonization planning.

🏛政策担当者:Policymakers can leverage the findings to understand the required analytical capabilities for designing effective energy transition policies.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Over the last few decades, electric power systems globally have been undergoing a rapid transition toward carbon-free energy resources, primarily driven by environmental concerns, technological innovations, economic advantages, and shifts in socioeconomic patterns. The integration of carbon-free electricity generators introduces challenges related to complexity, variability, and uncertainty of system operations. With mainstreaming and upscaling of these solutions, stranded assets, social acceptance, geopolitics of critical material security, disaster resilience, resilience to medium- to long-term variations in climate, constraints on availability of land, and end-of-life disposal issues have emerged and are inviting increasing attention. Recognition of these challenges has led to the emergence of an ensemble of electricity system models to plan and track energy transitions by accounting for these constraints. In this article, we review the coevolution of the required decision support and models. We summarize the evolution across key themes and reflect on the gaps in this evolving planning landscape of actors and networks.

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