Introducing Emission Trading Scheme To Accelerate Low-Carbon Transition in China's Urban Central Heating.
中国都市部の地域暖房における低炭素移行を加速する排出権取引制度の導入 (AI 翻訳)
Xiaodan Guo, Bowen Xiao, Ce Jia, Zhuang Liang, W. Meng, Lei Zhu, Pengfei Liu, Shuihui Tao
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文は、中国の都市部集中暖房システムにおける排出権取引制度（ETS）の実現可能性を分析する新たな均衡分析フレームワークを提案する。ETSの導入により、現在のクリーン暖房キャンペーンの焦点がガスボイラーから産業排熱や地熱へとシフトし、2030年の非化石エネルギー比率25%目標に貢献する。炭素枠の年間1%削減で排出量は2033年にピークを迎え、補助金再配分と段階的廃止戦略により財政負担を軽減しつつ持続可能な低炭素移行が可能となる。
English
This paper proposes a novel equilibrium analysis framework to assess the feasibility of implementing an Emission Trading Scheme (ETS) in China's central heating sector. Results show ETS can shift the focus from gas boilers to industrial surplus heat and geothermal, aligning with China's 25% non-fossil energy goal by 2030. A 1% annual carbon quota reduction leads to emissions peaking in 2033, with co-benefits in air pollution reduction. A well-designed subsidy phase-out strategy ensures a smooth and sustainable transition.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
中国の暖房部門ETSは日本でも参考になる。日本の地域暖房（特に都市部）でのカーボンプライシング導入や、補助金とETSの組み合わせによる財政効率化の事例として示唆に富む。
In the global GX context
This paper provides valuable insights for global ETS design in hard-to-abate sectors like district heating. The analysis of combining subsidies with carbon pricing to achieve both short-term transition and long-term market self-regulation is relevant for policymakers worldwide, especially those in cold climates.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Offers a novel equilibrium model for ETS in district heating, useful for carbon pricing and energy system modeling scholars.
🏢実務担当者:Provides evidence on how ETS can drive fuel switching and efficiency in heating utilities, relevant for corporate sustainability teams in energy or heating sectors.
🏛政策担当者:Presents policy design insights for integrating ETS with subsidy reforms to accelerate low-carbon heating transitions while managing fiscal costs.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Accelerating the low-carbon transition of an urban centralized heating system is a key concern for policymakers. We propose a novel equilibrium analysis framework to assess the feasibility of implementing ETS in China's central heating sector. The results demonstrate that implementing an emission trading scheme (ETS) within the central heating sector can accelerate decarbonization process by shifting the focus of the current Clean Heating Campaign from gas boilers to industrial surplus heat and geothermal energy, aligning with China's goal of reaching 25% nonfossil energy by 2030. It can provide a more cost-effective and sustainable decarbonization pathway in which a 1% annual reduction in carbon quotas leads to emissions peak at 2033, as well as it is expected to generate significant co-benefits by reducing heating-related air pollution. A well-designed subsidy reallocation and phase-out strategy can enable the ETS to drive decarbonization and alleviate fiscal pressures. This combination of ETS and subsidies ensures a smooth transition to low-carbon heating in the short term and is sustainable in the long run through endogenous technological advancement and market self-regulation.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.5c12218first seen 2026-05-05 22:43:02
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