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Exploring Trade-offs Between Carbon Storage and Timber Production with Alternative Rotation and Harvest Policies: Insights from a Real-World Forest Management Area

代替的な回転期間と伐採政策における炭素貯留と木材生産のトレードオフの探求:実在の森林管理地域からの洞察 (AI 翻訳)

Emin Zeki Baskent, Emin Zeki Baskent, Jan Kašpar, Eyyub Baskent, Eyyub Baskent

Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-08-05#炭素会計Origin: Global対象セクター: forestry
DOI: 10.1093/inteam/vjag125
原典: https://doi.org/10.1093/inteam/vjag125

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、トルコの森林計画単位を対象に、回転期間と伐採規制戦略の組み合わせが炭素貯留と木材生産に与える影響をETÇAP DSSを用いて100年間シミュレーションした。長い回転期間と材積規制伐採は炭素貯留を最大化し、短い回転期間と面積規制伐採は木材生産を高めるが炭素とのトレードオフが強まることを示した。樹木サイズ動態は炭素蓄積量に影響するが、全体的なトレードオフパターンは変えなかった。

English

This study simulates 100 years of forest management in a Turkish planning unit using the ETÇAP DSS, examining how rotation length and harvest regulation affect carbon storage and timber production. Longer rotations and volume-control harvesting maximize carbon storage, while shorter rotations and area-control enhance timber but intensify trade-offs. Tree-size dynamics influence carbon accumulation magnitude but not overall patterns. Results are scenario-based and exclude disturbances like wildfire.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本では、森林吸収源の確保が2050年カーボンニュートラル目標に重要であり、本研究成果は国産材生産と炭素貯留の両立を図る森林計画に示唆を与える。SSBJ開示における森林関連の炭素会計や、J-クレジット制度における森林管理の評価にも応用可能。

In the global GX context

Globally, this study contributes to the literature on forest-based climate mitigation, relevant to REDD+ and national GHG inventories. It demonstrates a decision-support approach for balancing timber production and carbon sequestration, useful for jurisdictions integrating forest carbon into climate policy and disclosure frameworks.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a quantitative framework for analyzing carbon-timber trade-offs under different management regimes, useful for forest carbon modeling.

🏢実務担当者:Offers insights for forest managers and landowners on how rotation and harvest policies affect carbon credits and timber revenue.

🏛政策担当者:Informs forest policy design by highlighting the carbon benefits of longer rotations and volume-control harvesting.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Forests provide essential ecosystem services, particularly timber production and carbon sequestration, both of which play critical roles in climate change mitigation and sustainable forest management. However, the long-term consequences of alternative management strategies on carbon-timber trade-offs remain insufficiently understood. This study addresses this gap by analysing the combined effects of rotation length, harvest regulation strategies, and tree-size dynamics on forest carbon storage and timber production using the ETÇAP decision support system (DSS). Four management scenarios were developed by combining short and long rotation periods with area-control and volume-control harvesting policies, while explicitly accounting for tree-size-dependent carbon dynamics. Simulations were conducted for a representative forest planning unit in Türkiye over a 100-year planning horizon. Results showed that longer rotations and volume-control harvesting consistently projected the largest increase in carbon storage by promoting the development and retention of larger trees, whereas shorter rotations and area-control harvesting enhanced timber production but intensified trade-offs with carbon sequestration. While tree-size dynamics influenced the magnitude of carbon accumulation, they did not substantially alter the overall trade-off patterns among management strategies. These results indicate that management decisions affecting age structure and harvesting regimes are important determinants of long-term carbon-timber outcomes. As the analysis is based on deterministic simulations that exclude major disturbance processes such as wildfire, pest outbreaks, and climate extremes, the results need to be interpreted as scenario-based projections. Nevertheless, the study highlights the value of integrating ecosystem-based forest management with decision support systems to systematically evaluate long-term management alternatives and support climate-informed forest planning.

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