Turkey's Shift to Renewables: Analyzing the NREAP's Effects on Hydropower, Wind, and Solar Energy
トルコの再生可能エネルギーへの転換：NREAPが水力・風力・太陽光に与えた影響の分析 (AI 翻訳)
Muhammad Awais Ather Bashir, Yasir Bashir, Altuğ Murat Köktaş Köktaş, Koray PİRÇEKLİ, Zohaib Ali
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、トルコの2014年国家再生可能エネルギー行動計画（NREAP）が再生可能エネルギー導入と温室効果ガス排出に与えた因果効果を、合成コントロール法を用いて分析した。その結果、NREAPにより総再生可能エネルギーシェアが14%増加し、主に太陽光と風力の成長によることが示された。一方、水力シェアと排出量への有意な影響は見られなかった。追加政策の必要性が示唆される。
English
This study analyzes the causal effect of Turkey's 2014 National Renewable Energy Action Plan (NREAP) on renewable energy deployment and greenhouse gas emissions using the synthetic control method. Findings show a 14% increase in total renewable share, driven by solar and wind, but no significant impact on hydro share or emissions. Additional policies are needed for broader environmental goals.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本では、再生可能エネルギー政策の効果を因果推論で評価する手法は、FIT見直しや次期エネルギー基本計画の検討に示唆を与える。特に、政策が特定技術に偏る効果を持つ点は、日本の再エネ導入戦略にも参考になる。
In the global GX context
This paper provides causal evidence on renewable energy policy effectiveness, relevant to global discussions on policy design for energy transition. It highlights that renewable targets may not automatically reduce emissions, informing ISSB-aligned transition planning and policy evaluation.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a rigorous causal method (synthetic control) for evaluating renewable energy policies, applicable to other countries.
🏢実務担当者:Highlights that renewable energy procurement may not directly reduce emissions, informing corporate decarbonization strategy.
🏛政策担当者:Demonstrates that renewable targets alone are insufficient; complementary policies are needed for emission reductions.
📄 Abstract（原文）
In this study, this study analyzes the impact of Turkey’s 2014 National Renewable Energy Action Plan (NREAP) on renewable energy deployment and greenhouse gas emissions is evaluated. Using the synthetic control method, this study analyzes the causal effect of the NREAP on the share of renewable energy in electricity generation, disaggregating by hydro, solar, and wind power, as well as its impact on per capita greenhouse gas emissions. Our findings reveal 14 % increase in the total renewable share of electricity following the NREAP implementation, primarily driven by growth in solar and wind energy. However, no significant impact is observed on the hydro share and greenhouse gas emissions. Robustness checks using placebo tests largely support these findings. The results indicate that, with regard to some renewable energy technologies, the NREAP has effectively spurred growth. This study concludes that the implementation of additional policies is essential to achieving broader environmental objectives.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21639631first seen 2026-07-31 06:17:47
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