Transformation of the spatial organization of economies in the single-resource regions in conditions of energy transition and decarbonization of the mining industry
エネルギー転換と鉱業の脱炭素化条件における単一資源地域の経済空間組織の変容 (AI 翻訳)
O.Yu. Smyslova, L.A. Shmeleva, E.A. Melay, V.E. Krylov, S.N. Markov
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文は、エネルギー転換と炭素規制強化がロシアの単一資源地域（石炭・石油ガス地域）の経済空間組織に与える影響を定量分析。HHIや炭素強度の指標を用い、2019〜2025年のデータから地域の強制多様化の兆候を確認。積極的な脱炭素投資により炭素強度35％削減と多様化進展を示すシナリオを提示。
English
This paper quantifies the impact of energy transition and carbon regulations on the spatial economy of single-resource regions in Russia (coal and oil-gas). Using HHI and carbon intensity metrics on 2019-2025 data, it finds forced diversification trends. A proactive scenario with higher decarbonization investments yields 35% carbon intensity reduction and improved diversification by 2035.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
ロシアの資源地域に特化した研究であり、日本のGX文脈（SSBJや有報）との直接的な接点は少ないが、石炭・石油依存地域の移行戦略のベンチマークとして参考になる可能性がある。
In the global GX context
This paper provides empirical evidence on how carbon regulation and energy transition reshape resource-dependent regional economies, offering insights for global just transition policy design. Its scenario analysis methodology can inform similar studies for other resource regions.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:GX researcher interested in regional diversification dynamics under decarbonization pressure.
🏛政策担当者:Policymakers in resource-rich regions seeking evidence-based transition strategies.
📄 Abstract（原文）
This research focuses on spatial organization of economies in the single-resource regions of the Russian Federation that experience a combined effect of the global energy transition, tightening carbon regulations, and redirection of the export flows in the mining industry. The study aims to make a quantitative assessment of the depth of structural deformations in the economic space of coal- and oil-and-gas-producing regions and to justify parameters of the following three spatial transformation scenarios: inertial, adaptive, and proactive. The methodological framework includes the Herfindahl–Hirschman Index (HHI) for measuring the sectoral concentration of the gross regional product, employment location quotients, decomposition analysis of carbon intensity of mining operations, and econometric modeling of the relationship between the investments in decarbonization and the diversification dynamics. The empirical base covers data from Rosstat, the Russian Ministry of Energy, TsDU TEK, and the National Greenhouse Gas Inventory for 2019–2025 across eight key single-resource regions that collectively account for over 78% of the total coal production and 92% of the hydrocarbon extraction in the country. The HHI for the Kemerovo Region decreased from 0.58 (2019) to 0.48 (2025), indicating an onset of the forced diversification, while the cumulative losses of the coal companies reached 112.6 billion rubles in 2024, with mining employment declining by 3,800 persons annually. The carbon intensity of the coal mining regions exceeds that of the oil-and-gas regions by a factor of 1.9–2.2, standing at 1.82 t CO2-eq per thousand tonnes of the coal mined. The proactive scenario that envisages an increase in decarbonization investments to 4.2% of the GRP enables a 35% reduction in the carbon intensity by 2035 with a simultaneous increase in the diversification index to 0.37. The practical significance of the results lies in their applicability to formulating fair energy transition strategies for the resource-based regions
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- crossref https://doi.org/10.30686/1609-9192-2026-2-184-191first seen 2026-05-14 22:26:25
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