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SYNERGETCS D5.3 - Scenarios for Policy Makers

Quispel, Martin, Ho-Sam-Sooi, Denise, Siebenheller, Daan, Holtmann, Berthold, Bačkalov, Igor, Zwaginga, Jesper

Zenodoプレプリント2026-06-30#政策Origin: EU経営インパクト: 調達リスク対象セクター: transport
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.21063242
原典: https://zenodo.org/records/21063242
📄 PDF

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

内陸水運と沿岸海運の気候中立移行は技術的にほぼ成熟しているが、現行の規制・市場条件下では経済的・システム的に実行可能ではない。政策介入が大規模展開の決定的なボトルネックであり、炭素価格導入と収入使途指定が鍵と結論。

English

This report finds that climate-neutral inland waterway transport and coastal shipping are technically close to maturity but not yet economically or systemically viable. Policy is the decisive bottleneck: without binding targets and carbon pricing with earmarked revenues, large-scale deployment will not occur.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

EUの内陸水運・沿岸海運に焦点を当てた報告書だが、日本でも内航船や港湾域の脱炭素政策に示唆を与える。特に、技術成熟度と政策不足のギャップを明示しており、日本のGX政策立案においても参考になる。

In the global GX context

This report highlights that technology for zero-emission shipping is mature, but policy is the binding constraint. It offers a clear framework for regulators globally: set mandatory targets, introduce carbon pricing, and earmark revenues to enable the transition.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Technology readiness exists but economic viability requires policy intervention — a key gap to address in future research.

🏢実務担当者:Shipping companies should anticipate carbon pricing and mandatory targets that will reshape operational costs and investment decisions.

🏛政策担当者:Binding policy, carbon pricing with revenue recycling, and multi-stakeholder coordination are essential to unlock decarbonization.

📄 Abstract(原文)

The key message of this report on the scenarios for policy makers is that the transition to climate‑neutral inland waterway transport (IWT) and coastal shipping is technically close to maturity but not yet economically or systemically viable under current regulatory and market conditions. The central finding of this report is that policy is the decisive bottleneck for large‑scale deployment of zero‑ and low‑emission solutions. Without binding policy interventions, the market conditions will not change. Setting mandatory targets, introducing carbon pricing and earmarking the revenues are key instruments and recommendations from this report to create a economically feasible transition.

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