DOES ECONOMIC GROWTH REDUCE OR INCREASE POLLUTION? AN EXAMINATION OF CROATIA’S SECTOR-SPECIFIC ENVIRONMENTAL KUZNETS CURVE
経済成長は汚染を減らすか増やすか？クロアチアのセクター別環境クズネッツ曲線の検証 (AI 翻訳)
Leonarda Srdelić, Radoslav Barišić
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文は、1995年から2021年のクロアチアにおけるセクター別環境クズネッツ曲線（EKC）の存在を検証。ARDLモデルを用いて、温室効果ガス排出量とGDPの関係を分析。エネルギー集約型セクターでは長期的な関係と短期的調整が確認され、建物・運輸・電力セクターでは長期的な共和分が観察された。建物とエネルギー集約型セクターでは逆U字型、電力セクターではU字型、運輸セクターでは正の線形関係が示され、炭素価格などの政策介入の必要性が示唆された。
English
This paper examines sector-specific Environmental Kuznets Curves (EKC) in Croatia from 1995 to 2021 using ARDL models. A stable long-term relationship with short-term adjustments was found in the energy-intensive sector. Inverted U-shaped EKC was identified in buildings and energy-intensive sectors, while a U-shaped relationship was found in utilities/electricity. Transportation shows a positive linear relationship, highlighting the need for carbon pricing interventions.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
クロアチアの事例ではあるが、セクター別のEKC分析は日本の産業構造や排出削減政策（例：GXリーグ、カーボンプライシング）の評価に示唆を与える。特に運輸・電力セクターの結果は、日本の脱炭素戦略におけるセクター別アプローチの重要性を再認識させる。
In the global GX context
While focused on Croatia, this sectoral EKC analysis offers insights for global climate policy, particularly the differential impacts of economic growth on emissions across sectors. The findings support targeted interventions like carbon pricing, relevant to EU ETS and similar mechanisms worldwide.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides empirical evidence on sector-specific EKC shapes, useful for comparative studies on economic growth and emissions.
🏢実務担当者:Highlights the need for sector-specific decarbonization strategies, relevant for corporate sustainability planning.
🏛政策担当者:Suggests that carbon pricing and targeted policies are needed for sectors like transportation where emissions rise with GDP.
📄 Abstract（原文）
This paper investigates the existence of sector-specific Environmental Kuznets Curves (EKC) in Croatia from 1995 to 2021. Using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Error Correction Models (ECM), the relationship between greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is analysed across key climate-policy relevant sectors (CPRS). A stable long-term relationship with significant short-term adjustments was found in the energy-intensive sector, which is regulated under the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS). Long-term cointegration, but with non-significant short-term adjustments, was observed in the buildings, transportation, and utility/electricity sectors. Among sectors with a significant long-term relationship, an inverted U-shaped Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC)—where emissions initially rise and then, after reaching a certain GDP threshold, decline—was identified in the buildings and energy-intensive sectors. In contrast, a U-shaped relationship was found in the utility/electricity sector, where emissions initially decrease but start to increase again as GDP grows. The transportation sector shows a positive linear relationship with GDP, with emissions rising consistently with economic growth, highlighting the need for targeted interventions like carbon pricing. Conversely, the fossil fuel sector shows no significant GDP-emissions relationship, pointing to external factors like geopolitical risks as primary influences.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openaire https://doi.org/10.17818/emip/2025/9first seen 2026-05-05 19:06:49
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