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炭素回収・利用・貯留技術評価

Carbon Capture Utilization and Storage Technology Assessment (原題)

Hunter Hughes

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)ジャーナル2026-09-05#CCUSOrigin: Global経営インパクト: コスト削減対象セクター: cross_sector
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.22375522
原典: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22375522

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本モノグラフは、セメントや鉄鋼など電気化では削減できない残存排出に対し、CCUSとDACの物理・工学・経済性を包括評価。回収コストは高純度流で$25-40/t、DACで$350-650/tと段階的。実績では設計90%に対し実効65-75%と過大評価を指摘し、モラルハザード回避のガードレールと2026-2035年の戦略ロードマップを提示。

English

This monograph comprehensively assesses CCUS and DAC for residual emissions from cement, steel, and chemicals that electrification cannot abate. It evaluates capture technologies, costs ($25-40/t for high-purity streams to $350-650/t for DAC), and storage capacity. It critiques overclaimed capture performance (actual 65-75% vs. 90% design) and proposes guardrails and a 2026-2035 roadmap prioritizing CCUS for unavoidable emissions and DAC for residual aviation/maritime/agriculture.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本では、水素・アンモニア供給やセメント・鉄鋼産業の脱炭素に向け、CCUSは重要技術。GX推進戦略やCCS事業法の動きと整合し、実効回収率の過大評価やガードレールの指摘は、国内プロジェクトの設計・評価に示唆を与える。

In the global GX context

Globally, CCUS is critical for hard-to-abate sectors and net-zero targets. This assessment provides a rigorous techno-economic and performance reality check, informing ISSB-aligned transition plans and Article 6 carbon crediting. Its emphasis on actual capture performance and moral hazard is relevant for investors and policymakers assessing transition finance and carbon removal claims.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a comprehensive techno-economic and performance audit of CCUS/DAC, including cost tiers and learning curves, useful for modeling decarbonization pathways.

🏢実務担当者:Offers cost benchmarks and performance data to inform CCUS project feasibility, supplier selection, and credible transition planning.

🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need for regulatory guardrails and realistic performance expectations to prevent fossil lock-in and ensure CCUS contributes to net-zero.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS) and Direct Air Capture (DAC) are thermodynamic necessities for achieving mid‑century climate stabilization because 25–30% of global CO₂ emissions arise from stoichiometric industrial processes that cannot be abated through electrification alone. As the monograph states, “direct electrification and renewable energy deployment cannot abate stoichiometric process emissions inherent in cement clinker calcination, blast furnace iron reduction, and primary chemical synthesis” . These residual emissions—4.5 to 5.5 Gt CO₂ annually by 2050—require large‑scale deployment of point‑source capture and engineered carbon removal. This assessment evaluates the physics, engineering, and economics of post‑combustion amine absorption, pre‑combustion physical solvents, oxy‑fuel systems, membranes, and emerging electrochemical architectures. It contrasts industrial point‑source capture with DAC’s extreme dilution challenge, where “capturing 1.0 metric ton of CO₂ requires processing approximately 2.0 to 2.5 million cubic meters of ambient air” . Solid‑sorbent VTSA and liquid KOH looping systems are analyzed across energy penalties, regeneration temperatures, water balances, and scalability. The monograph integrates technoeconomic cost trajectories, showing four distinct cost tiers—from $25–$40/t for high‑purity ammonia/ethanol streams to $350–$650/t for first‑of‑a‑kind DAC—and maps future learning‑curve reductions for modular DAC manufacturing. It further examines transport infrastructure (dense‑phase pipelines, maritime CO₂ shipping), subsurface storage physics (structural, residual, dissolution, and mineral trapping), and global storage basin capacities exceeding 8,000–14,000 Gt CO₂. A historical audit of CCS projects reveals chronic underperformance, with many facilities achieving only 65–75% lifetime capture despite 90% design claims. As documented, “actual lifetime capture efficiencies across operational power facilities averaged 65% to 75%” . The monograph critiques moral hazard risks and establishes strict deployment guardrails to prevent CCUS from enabling fossil lock‑in. Finally, the assessment outlines a strategic 2026–2035 roadmap emphasizing industrial clustering, shared transport/storage hubs, regulatory guardrails, and prioritization of CCUS only for unavoidable stoichiometric emissions. DAC is reserved for neutralizing residual aviation, maritime, and agricultural emissions, forming the backbone of durable net‑negative carbon removal.

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