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Emission Reduction Strategies for Cement Production in Mexico: A Scenario Analysis

メキシコにおけるセメント生産の排出削減戦略:シナリオ分析 (AI 翻訳)

Mariana Murrieta-Melchor, Stephany Isabel Vallarta-Serrano, E. Santoyo-Castelazo, Sergio Alberto Navarro‐Tuch

Clean Technologies📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-04-14#CCUS
DOI: 10.3390/cleantechnol8020058
原典: https://doi.org/10.3390/cleantechnol8020058
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

セメント生産は世界のGHG排出の8%以上を占める。本研究はメキシコのセメント生産を対象に、通常シナリオと2つの代替シナリオで2050年までのエネルギー消費と排出をモデル化。最も野心的なシナリオでは、CCSやクリンカ比率削減などにより直接排出を80.1%削減可能と示した。ただし、実現にはステークホルダーの積極的な関与と投資が必要。

English

The cement industry accounts for over 8% of global GHG emissions. This study analyzes Mexico's cement production under BAU and two alternative scenarios using a top-down approach to model energy and emissions to 2050. The most ambitious scenario reduces direct emissions by 80.1% through carbon capture, clinker-to-cement reduction, efficiency, and alternative fuels. However, implementation requires active stakeholder support.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本でもセメント産業の脱炭素化が課題。本分析のシナリオ手法やCCS導入の評価は、日本のセメント業界にとっても参考になる可能性がある。

In the global GX context

This paper provides a scenario analysis for cement decarbonization in a middle-income country, highlighting the potential and challenges of CCS and alternative fuels. It contributes to the global literature on industrial decarbonization in emerging economies.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Useful for understanding emission reduction potentials in cement sector of developing countries.

🏢実務担当者:Cement producers in similar markets can learn from the scenario analysis and strategy mix.

🏛政策担当者:Policymakers in Mexico and comparable economies can use these findings to design support for CCS and efficiency measures.

📄 Abstract(原文)

As the world faces the challenge of mitigating climate change, energy- and emissions-intensive industrial processes must be addressed urgently worldwide. The cement production industry accounts for over 8% of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from calcination and fuel use. Mexico, a middle-income economy, has rising cement demand for infrastructure and commercial growth. Thus, this study analysed national cement production, the primary emitting manufacturing industry in the country, under a business-as-usual (BAU) and two alternative scenarios, using a top-down approach to model energy consumption and GHG emissions by 2050. These scenarios follow the projection of national cement production, estimated using socio-economic indicators, which are considered the main drivers of cement demand, reaching 97.3 Mt. A qualitative analysis evaluates the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT) of implementing emission-reduction strategies. The analysis showed that the BAU scenario might reach 66.5 Mt CO2e by 2050, while the most ambitious scenario reduced direct emissions by 80.1% through carbon capture, clinker-to-cement reduction, thermal energy intensity reduction, and the use of municipal solid waste as an alternative fuel. However, incorporating these strategies in Mexico requires a more active role and investment support from key stakeholders.

🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース

gxceed は公開メタデータに基づく研究支援データセットです。要約・翻訳・解説は AI 支援で生成されています。 最終的な解釈・検証は利用者が原典資料に基づいて行うことを前提とします。