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統合評価モデルにおける公平性

Equity in Integrated Assessment Modelling (原題)

Shridhar Govind Kulkarni

ジャーナル2026-08-10#政策Origin: Global
DOI: 10.33540/3550
原典: https://doi.org/10.33540/3550

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

統合評価モデル(IAM)における公平性の扱いを検討。損失と利得の評価が対称的であることや、地域内不平等の影響を無視することで、気候被害が過小評価され、排出削減が遅れる可能性を指摘。分配的政策の組み合わせで、野心的な気候目標とSDGsの共便益を両立できると示す。

English

This paper examines equity in Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs), arguing that symmetric valuation of gains and losses and neglect of intra-regional inequality underrepresent climate damages, leading to insufficient emissions cuts. It shows IAMs can explore policy combinations that reduce regressive impacts and enhance SDG co-benefits without compromising climate ambition.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本の気候政策では、公正な移行や地域間格差への配慮が求められており、IAMによる公平性分析は、国内の排出削減策の設計や、国際的な公平な負担分担の議論に示唆を与える。

In the global GX context

Globally, this contributes to the discourse on just transition and equitable climate policy, highlighting how IAMs can better incorporate distributional effects to inform more ambitious and fairer mitigation pathways.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:IAMの公平性組み込みに関する方法論的示唆を得られる。

🏛政策担当者:気候政策の分配影響を考慮した設計の重要性を認識できる。

📄 Abstract(原文)

IAMs are increasingly being used to evaluate progress towards sustainable development goals. While the representation of SDG-relevant sociotechnical systems in IAMs has improved over the years, relatively little attention has been given to equity considerations. Accounting for unequal consequences of policies and climate change could well mean that the consequences of climate change are underrepresented in current IAMs. One element is that losses and gains are valued equally in IAMs, while there is ample evidence that the modelled representative agent’s aversion to climate damages should be valued more strongly. If this would be accounted for even at aggregate global or regional scales, IAMs would call for faster and deeper emissions cuts, corresponding with overall fairer outcomes. Climate policies in IAMs can lead to increased inequalities within regions through their unequal impact on residential energy expenditures. At the same time, the resulting reduction in global emissions can lead to progressive distributional outcomes in the long term from avoided climate damages. Corrective distributional policies beyond revenue recycling schemes remain underexplored in IAMs. Yet, we show that IAMs are well equipped to explore policy combinations that reduce regressive mitigation impacts and reinforce SDG co-benefits without sacrificing ambitious climate targets. Enabling the financial means to achieve SDGs is crucial for reducing inequality both between and within countries and also enables more ambitious climate action. In this context, equity considerations in IAMs on fairer burden sharing between rich and poor countries are incomplete without also accounting for concurrent disparities in development needs.

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