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The Mediating Role of Energy Consumption in the Impact of Trade Openness and Economic Growth on Carbon Emissions: The Case of Turkey

貿易開放度と経済成長が炭素排出に及ぼす影響におけるエネルギー消費の媒介的役割：トルコの場合 (AI 翻訳)

Sinan Bağdaş, Gamze ŞEKEROĞLU

Selçuk Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-04-30#エネルギー転換
DOI: 10.52642/susbed.1779724
原典: https://doi.org/10.52642/susbed.1779724

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

トルコの1965年から2022年のデータを用いて、経済成長と貿易開放度が炭素排出に与える影響におけるエネルギー消費の媒介効果を分析。GDPはエネルギー消費とCO2排出に負の影響を与え、総効果の73.8%がエネルギー消費を介して間接的に生じることが示された。貿易開放度はエネルギー消費とCO2排出に正の影響を与えるが、媒介効果は統計的に有意ではなかった。エネルギー消費自体はCO2排出に負の直接効果を持つ。

English

This study examines the mediating role of energy consumption in the relationship between economic growth, trade openness, and carbon emissions in Turkey using data from 1965-2022. GDP has a negative effect on both energy consumption and CO2 emissions, with 73.8% of its total effect on emissions occurring indirectly through energy consumption. Trade openness positively affects energy consumption and CO2 emissions, but its mediating effect is not significant. Energy consumption has a direct negative effect on CO2 emissions.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

本論文はトルコを対象とした実証分析であり、日本のGX政策や開示制度に直接的な関連性は低い。しかし、エネルギー消費を媒介変数とした因果分析の手法は、日本の企業や政策の効果検証に応用可能である。

In the global GX context

While focused on Turkey, this paper provides a robust mediation analysis framework that can be applied to other countries' emission drivers. It adds to the empirical literature on the energy-emissions nexus, relevant for designing mitigation policies.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:This paper demonstrates a mediation analysis approach for assessing indirect effects of economic variables on emissions, applicable to other contexts.

📄 Abstract（原文）

Research on carbon emissions (CO2 emissions) and their determinants as part of environmental pollution has been ongoing for a long time and continues. The aim of this study is to examine the mediating role of energy consumption in the relationship between economic growth, trade openness, and carbon emissions (CO₂) in the context of Turkey. Data analysis, statistical evaluations, and visualization processes were conducted using the R programming language for the period 1965–2022. The analysis results indicate that Gross Domestic Product (GDP) variable, representing economic growth, has a negative and statistically significant effect on both energy consumption and CO₂ emissions in Turkey. Furthermore, it was determined that approximately 73.8% of the total effect of GDP on CO₂ emissions occurs indirectly through energy consumption. The effect of trade openness on both energy consumption and CO₂ emissions was found to be positive and statistically significant. However, when examined in terms of mediation, the mediating role of energy consumption in the relationship between trade openness and CO₂ emissions was not found to be statistically significant. On the other hand, the direct effect of the mediator variable (energy consumption) on CO₂ emissions was negative and statistically significant.

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