グリーン成長は実現可能か？再生可能エネルギー転換は経済拡大を支えるか？
Is Green Growth Feasible? Does the Renewable Transition Support Economic Expansion? (原題)
Büyükoğlu, Burak
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
D-8諸国を対象に、2000〜2025年の経済成長とCO2排出のデカップリングをTapio弾性値で分析。再生可能エネルギー普及の効果を評価し、現状では強いグリーン成長は未確立で、エネルギー効率改善や構造転換が不可欠と指摘。
English
This study analyzes decoupling between GDP growth and CO2 emissions in D-8 countries (2000-2025) using the Tapio elasticity approach. It finds that green growth is not yet firmly established, and renewable energy alone is insufficient without energy efficiency gains and structural changes.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本では、エネルギー転換と経済成長の両立が政策課題。本分析は新興国の教訓を示し、日本の技術協力や国際貢献の参考になる。
In the global GX context
This paper contributes to the global debate on green growth, offering empirical evidence from D-8 countries that renewable energy deployment must be complemented by efficiency and structural policies, relevant for international climate policy design.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides empirical evidence on decoupling in D-8 economies, useful for comparative green growth research.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need for integrated policies combining renewables, efficiency, and structural change to achieve green growth.
📄 Abstract（原文）
This study examines whether green growth is feasible in the D-8 countries by investigating the extent to which economic growth has decoupled from carbon emissions over the period 2000–2025. In addition, it evaluates whether the renewable energy transition has supported this decoupling process and contributed to more sustainable patterns of economic expansion. The analysis employs the Tapio decoupling elasticity approach to assess the dynamic relationship between GDP growth and CO₂ emissions. The decoupling results are interpreted together with changes in renewable energy shares, carbon intensity, and energy intensity indicators in order to provide a broader assessment of the conditions under which green growth may emerge. The findings indicate that a strong, stable, and persistent green growth trajectory has not yet been firmly established across the D-8 economies. Although some countries display episodes of strong decoupling and gradual reductions in carbon intensity, these improvements are often irregular and country-specific. In many cases, economic expansion remains closely associated with rising emissions, suggesting that growth continues to rely heavily on carbon-intensive production and energy systems. The results further suggest that renewable energy expansion can contribute to decoupling, but its effect is limited when it is not accompanied by improvements in energy efficiency and deeper structural changes in the economy. Therefore, renewable energy alone does not automatically guarantee green growth. Overall, the study highlights that achieving green growth in the D-8 countries requires an integrated policy framework that combines renewable energy deployment, energy efficiency improvements, industrial upgrading, and reductions in carbon intensity. These findings offer important implications for policymakers seeking to reconcile economic development with climate sustainability.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- Zenodo https://zenodo.org/records/22288476first seen 2026-09-05 04:39:35 · last seen 2026-09-08 04:14:48
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