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Synergies between climate mitigation and adaptation: the role of photovoltaics in meeting cooling demand in Italy

Lucia Piazza, Francesco Pietro Colelli

Environmental Research Energy📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-05-14#再生可能エネルギーOrigin: EU
DOI: 10.1088/2753-3751/ae6dc0
原典: https://doi.org/10.1088/2753-3751/ae6dc0

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、イタリア全土において気温上昇に伴う冷房需要の増加と太陽光発電(PV)の普及による電力網負荷軽減効果を分析。PV導入がピーク時の系統電力需要を最大50%削減できる一方、熱ストレスの大きい都市部ではPV普及が遅れており、対象的な政策が必要と結論。

English

This study analyzes the synergies between climate mitigation (PV adoption) and adaptation (rising cooling demand) across Italy. It finds that PV can offset up to 50% of grid electricity during peak cooling demand, but highlights spatial heterogeneity: northern and island areas benefit more, while heat-exposed central/southern cities lag in PV uptake, calling for targeted policies.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本でも夏季の冷房需要増加と再エネ導入の関係が重要視されている。本論文の空間分析手法は、日本の地域ごとのPV普及促進策立案に応用可能。

In the global GX context

This paper contributes to the global literature on integrated mitigation-adaptation strategies for energy systems. Its spatial approach is valuable for countries like Italy, Japan, and others facing rising cooling demand and uneven renewable deployment.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a method to quantify PV's role in offsetting adaptation-driven electricity demand, combining panel data and climate projections.

🏢実務担当者:Useful for energy planners to identify priority areas for PV deployment to reduce peak load from cooling.

🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need for targeted renewable policies in urban heat-island zones to maximize mitigation-adaptation co-benefits.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Abstract This paper explores the synergies between photovoltaic (PV) adoption as a climate mitigation strategy and the growing need for adaptation through increased cooling demand across Italy. We combine estimates of semi elasticities capturing the effect of residential photovoltaic systems on household electricity withdrawals from the grid with high frequency projections of local photovoltaic potential, future adoption scenarios and climate projections. This integrated framework allows us to assess two key outcomes: first, the evolution of residential electricity demand for cooling under rising temperatures and second, the extent to which photovoltaic diffusion can offset grid electricity consumption. Our nationwide analysis estimates that with rising temperatures, cooling needs will drive significant increases in electricity demand, by 2-3 TWh annually, a 5% increase with respect to residential electricity consumption in 2023. At the same time, expanded photovoltaic adoption can partially counterbalance this effect by reducing household reliance on the grid during peak demand periods by almost 50%. The spatial distribution of future photovoltaic uptake reveals pronounced heterogeneity across municipalities. Areas in northern Italy and the islands, where installation rates are relatively high, experience sizeable benefits from photovoltaic generation. In contrast, large and densely populated cities in central and southern Italy, despite being more exposed to frequent and intense heat, capture far smaller gains due to persistently low photovoltaic penetration. Overall, our results highlight the importance of jointly considering mitigation and adaptation when designing energy policies. They also underscore the role of targeted measures to promote photovoltaic adoption in heat exposed urban areas as part of Italy’s ongoing energy transition.

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