Sanctions, fossil dependency, and renewable aspirations shaping Iran’s geopolitical constraints on energy transition
制裁、化石燃料依存、そして再生可能エネルギーへの願望：エネルギー転換におけるイランの地政学的制約 (AI 翻訳)
Md. Thowhidul Islam
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文は2000〜2024年のイランを対象に、制裁と化石燃料依存が再生可能エネルギーへの移行をいかに阻害するかを政治経済学的に分析する。概念「二重のロックイン」を提唱し、地政学的孤立と国内レンティア制度が相互に強化され構造変革を妨げることを示す。再生可能エネルギーへの野心は制裁下での生存戦略に従属していると結論づける。
English
This paper examines Iran's energy transition from 2000-2024 through a political economy lens, focusing on how sanctions and fossil fuel dependency hinder renewable energy adoption. It introduces the concept of 'dual lock-in,' arguing that geopolitical isolation and domestic rentier institutions mutually reinforce structural inertia. The study concludes that renewable aspirations remain secondary to survival strategies in a sanction-stricken environment.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
本論文は、国際制裁下でのエネルギー転換の難しさを浮き彫りにしており、日本のエネルギー安全保障政策や地政学的リスク管理において、同様の制約が生じうる点で示唆に富む。ただしイランと日本の状況は大きく異なるため、直接的な適用には注意が必要。
In the global GX context
This paper offers a novel perspective on how geopolitical isolation can lock countries into fossil fuel dependency, relevant for global debates on energy sanctions and just transition. It provides a qualitative framework that complements quantitative studies on energy transition barriers, though the Iran-specific context limits direct generalizability.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a political economy framework ('dual lock-in') for analyzing energy transitions under sanctions, useful for comparative studies.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights how sanctions can inadvertently reinforce fossil fuel dependence, informing policy design for targeted measures.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Iran’s energy sector lies at the intersection of fossil fuel dependency, international sanctions, and delayed efforts toward renewable energy development. Covering the period 2000–2024, despite possessing some of the world’s largest reserves of oil and natural gas, Iran’s energy transition is constrained by structural reliance on hydrocarbons, sanctions-induced isolation, and limited access to global finance and technology. This article employs a qualitative political economy approach, drawing on policy documents, secondary literature, and international energy data to examine how sanctions shape Iran’s capacity to adopt renewable energy, particularly solar and wind, in light of its acute vulnerability to climate change. It advances the concept of a “dual lock-in,” arguing that geopolitical isolation and domestic rentier institutions interact recursively to constrain structural transformation in the energy sector. Based on an original qualitative analysis of primary policy documents, it argues that the geopolitical contestation surrounding Iran—its exclusion from global energy markets, the securitization of its nuclear program, and its strained relations with Western powers—hampers its ability to diversify energy sources and integrate into global low-carbon pathways. The study highlights how domestic priorities, such as energy subsidies and rent distribution, reinforce fossil dependency while undermining incentives for decarbonization. The paper concludes that Iran’s energy future is locked between structural inertia and geopolitical constraints, where renewable aspirations remain secondary to survival strategies in a sanction-stricken environment.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-026-03378-4first seen 2026-06-05 04:55:14
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