Geopolitical risk, renewable energy transition and policy response: evidence from the BRICS economies
地政学的リスク、再生可能エネルギー移行と政策対応：BRICS経済からの証拠 (AI 翻訳)
T. Zwane, A. Ogunsola
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は1990〜2023年のBRICS諸国を対象に、地政学的リスクが再生可能エネルギー移行に与える負の影響を実証。政策の不確実性は特定条件下で再生可能エネルギー消費を促進する一方、投資には阻害要因となる。為替変動は再生可能エネルギー投資に正の影響を与えるが、人口増加は移行を妨げる。BRICS諸国の協調した政策対応が重要と提言。
English
This paper empirically analyzes the negative impact of geopolitical risk on renewable energy transitions in BRICS countries from 1990 to 2023. It finds that policy uncertainty can spur renewable consumption under effective frameworks but hinders investment. Exchange rate fluctuations positively affect renewable investment, while population growth impedes the transition. The study recommends coordinated policies among BRICS nations.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
BRICS諸国に焦点を当てているが、地政学的リスクとエネルギー移行の関係は日本にも示唆を与える。政策の安定性と国際協力の重要性が強調されており、日本のエネルギー安全保障政策に参考となる。
In the global GX context
This paper provides empirical evidence on how geopolitical risks hinder renewable energy transitions in BRICS, offering policy lessons for global cooperation and stability, relevant for international energy transition frameworks.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a robust empirical framework linking geopolitical risk, policy uncertainty, and renewable energy investment, useful for further studies in energy economics.
🏢実務担当者:Highlights the need for stable policy environments and regional cooperation to mitigate geopolitical risks in renewable energy projects.
🏛政策担当者:Emphasizes the importance of coordinated policy responses and shared mechanisms among countries to facilitate energy transitions amidst geopolitical tensions.
📄 Abstract（原文）
This paper empirically examines the dynamic interplay between geopolitical risk, renewable energy transitions, and policy responses within the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) economies spanning the period from 1990 to 2023, thus addressing the pressing challenge of harmonizing the energy security priorities with the imperative for sustainable economic growth. Employing cross-sectional autoregressive distributed lag and Bayesian structural vector autoregression methodologies for a comprehensive analysis of short-run and long-run dynamics among variables, the findings show a significant negative relationship between geopolitical risks and the adoption and investment in renewable energy sources. Correspondingly, economic policy uncertainties are observed to spur renewable energy consumption under specific economic circumstances characterized by effective policy frameworks; however, policy uncertainties pose a hindrance to renewable energy investment. Furthermore, the study highlights that exchange rate fluctuations have a significant positive impact on renewable investment decisions, whereas demographic pressures stemming from population growth tend to impede energy transition processes. The response strategies to geopolitical shocks underscore the crucial nexus between policy formulation and stability, which collectively mold energy-related outcomes. The central policy recommendation emanating from this study emphasizes the significance of concerted cooperation among the BRICS nations, including measures such as shared supply-chain assurances, regional financing mechanisms, and harmonized regulatory regimes to alleviate barriers associated with geopolitical risks in the transition to renewable energy sources. Finally, the direct applicability of the results pertains to the unique context of the BRICS bloc, which is due to their specific trade dynamics, technological dependencies, and exposure to commodities.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://doi.org/10.61435/ijred.2026.61693first seen 2026-05-15 21:40:44
🔔 こうした論文の新着を逃したくない方は キーワードアラート に登録（無料・3キーワードまで）。
gxceed は公開メタデータに基づく研究支援データセットです。要約・翻訳・解説は AI 支援で生成されています。 最終的な解釈・検証は利用者が原典資料に基づいて行うことを前提とします。