Economic feasibility of a sustainable future: Comparative life cycle cost assessment of electric and internal combustion engine vehicles in the Swedish automotive market
持続可能な未来の経済的実現可能性：スウェーデン自動車市場における電気自動車と内燃機関車の比較ライフサイクルコスト評価 (AI 翻訳)
Hakan İnal, Emma Karlsson, Oliver Nåfors, Tuba Inal, Karl Dahlquist
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、2024年のスウェーデン自動車市場における電気自動車（BEV）、プラグインハイブリッド車（PHEV）、内燃機関車（ICEV）のライフサイクルコスト（LCC）を比較。Tesla Model Y（BEV）のLCCは877,736 SEK、Volkswagen T-Roc（ICEV）は635,222 SEKと最も低く、PHEVのVolvo XC60は1,104,065 SEKで最高。シナリオ分析と損益分岐分析により、ICEVとEVのコスト均等化には政府とメーカーによる大幅なインセンティブが必要であることを示す。2022年のスウェーデン政府によるEV購入補助金廃止は、EUのグリーン移行目標を阻害する可能性がある。
English
This study compares the life cycle cost (LCC) of BEV, PHEV, and ICEV in Sweden in 2024. The Tesla Model Y (BEV) has an LCC of 877,736 SEK, the Volkswagen T-Roc (ICEV) the lowest at 635,222 SEK, and the Volvo XC60 (PHEV) the highest at 1,104,065 SEK. Scenario and break-even analyses show that significant government and manufacturer incentives are needed to equalize costs between ICEVs and EVs. The removal of a major EV purchase incentive in Sweden in 2022 may hinder EU green transition goals.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
スウェーデンの事例だが、日本でもEV普及政策（補助金・税制）の効果検証やLCC分析手法は参考になる。日本のEV市場（軽EV含む）との比較や、日本の補助金制度設計への示唆を得られる。
In the global GX context
This paper provides a rigorous LCC comparison of EVs and ICEVs in a mature market, highlighting the impact of policy incentives on consumer economics. It offers a methodological template for similar analyses in other countries and underscores the tension between subsidy removal and climate targets.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Methodology for LCC with scenario and break-even analysis applicable to other markets.
🏢実務担当者:Insights on cost competitiveness of EVs vs ICEVs and sensitivity to incentives.
🏛政策担当者:Evidence that removing EV subsidies can significantly slow the green transition.
📄 Abstract（原文）
The purpose of the study is to examine the economic feasibility of electric vehicles (EV) and internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEV) in Sweden in 2024. We analyze the life cycle cost (LCC) of a battery electric vehicle (BEV), in comparison to a plug-in hybrid vehicle (PHEV), and an ICEV on the Swedish automotive market. The lifetime period is set to 11 years starting from 2024. As a theoretical contribution to LCC analysis, scenario analysis and break-even analysis from finance literature is used to create alternative scenarios for visualizing how changes in parameter estimates could impact the lifetime costing and analyzing what changes would make the vehicles economically indifferent to own. We consider the most popular cars in each category in Sweden in 2023. The results show that the PHEV Volvo XC60 has the highest LCC, calculated at 1,104,065 Swedish Krona (SEK) in the base case scenario. The equivalent cost for the BEV Tesla Model Y is calculated to 877,736 SEK while the ICEV Volkswagen T-Roc has the lowest LCC at 635,222 SEK. The break-even scenarios show that it would take a lot of incentives, both from the government and vehicle producers to reach a more equal lifetime cost between the ICEV and the electric vehicle (EV) alternatives. Swedish government’s decision to remove a major purchase incentive for EVs in 2022, therefore, may result in impeding the green transition goals set by the European Union, which are partly contingent on a rapid expansion of the EV fleet.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openaire https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cstp.2025.101475first seen 2026-05-05 19:07:51
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