GCC諸国におけるCO2排出削減と循環炭素経済移行の環境マネジメント要因

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

🔬研究者:産油国における生態容量・技術革新と排出の関係を第二世代パネル推計で示す実証枠組みとして参照できる。

🏢実務担当者:GCC進出企業や投資家は、現地のFDI環境スクリーニング強化とグリーン技術需要の高まりを事業リスク・機会として読める。

🏛政策担当者:資源依存国の脱炭素政策において、技術革新支援・生物容量保護・FDI環境審査を統合する政策設計の根拠となる。

Despite the growing interest in circular carbon frameworks, empirical evidence on how ecological capacity and innovation drive carbon reduction in fossil-fuel economies remains scarce. This study addresses this gap in the GCC region using second-generation panel estimators. The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries, as leading global producers and exporters of fossil fuels, face mounting pressure to reconcile their economic dependence on hydrocarbons with rising carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions and ecological deficits. Therefore, advancing a circular carbon economy (CCE) has emerged as a strategic environmental management priority in the region. To inform the circular carbon economy policy in the region, this study investigates the influence of technological innovation, ecological capacity (ecological footprint, bio-capacity, and load capacity factor), energy efficiency, and foreign direct investment (FDI) on CO₂ emissions in the six GCC countries. Using panel data for the six GCC countries from 2000 to 2022, the study applies the Dynamic Common Correlated Effects (DCCE) estimator and the Cross-Sectional Augmented Autoregressive Distributed Lag (CS-ARDL) model, with Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression employed for robustness checks. The results indicate that technological innovation, energy efficiency improvements, and stronger ecological capacity, particularly a reduced ecological footprint, enhanced biocapacity, and a higher load capacity factor, significantly reduce CO₂ emissions and accelerate the transition to a CCE. In contrast, FDI inflows, population growth, and GDP expansion are linked to higher CO₂ emissions, showing that economic growth in the region remains tightly tied to carbon-intensive activity and that foreign investment continues to enter the region without adequate environmental screening. These findings extend the environmental management literature by demonstrating that ecological capacity protection and innovation-led decarbonization are mutually reinforcing levers for circular carbon transitions in fossil fuel-exporting regions. This study offers actionable implications for GCC policymakers and environmental managers by recommending integrated policy instruments that simultaneously incentivize green technological innovation, safeguard biocapacity, and screen FDI for environmental quality to operationalize a resilient circular carbon economy.

• openalex https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-026-05114-4first seen 2026-10-29 05:02:41 · last seen 2026-11-06 05:03:35