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Accelerating greenhouse gas retrievals with neural network-based forward models

ニューラルネットワークベースの順モデルによる温室効果ガスリトリーバルの高速化 (AI 翻訳)

Fiona Lippert, Andrew Gerald Barr, Marcos Herreras-Giralda, Masahiro Momoi, Fernando Rejano, Sha Lu, Otto Hasekamp, Oleg Dubovik, Edward Malina, Jochen Landgraf

プレプリント2026-08-12#AI×ESGOrigin: Global
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2026-4724
原典: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4724

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

温室効果ガス(GHG)リトリーバルは計算コストの高い物理モデルに依存し、リアルタイム処理が困難。本研究では、ニューラルネットワークによるエミュレータを開発し、Sentinel-5ミッションのXCO2・XCH4リトリーバルを高速化。ハイブリッド手法が精度と速度のバランスに優れ、高排出シナリオでも堅牢であることを示した。

English

GHG retrievals rely on costly physics-based forward models, limiting real-time processing. This study develops neural network emulators for Sentinel-5, comparing end-to-end and hybrid approaches. The hybrid method achieves high accuracy (<1.5 ppb XCH4, <0.5 ppm XCO2) while being 10x faster, enabling timely emission hotspot detection.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本のGX政策では、衛星観測による排出監視が重要視されており、本技術はGOSAT等の国産衛星データ処理の高速化に応用可能。また、排出量の独立検証は企業の開示データの信頼性向上に寄与する。

In the global GX context

Globally, satellite-based GHG monitoring is crucial for verifying national inventories and corporate disclosures. This hybrid ML approach enables near-real-time processing, supporting transparency and accountability in climate action, aligning with ISSB and CSRD reporting needs.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:MLエミュレータのハイブリッド設計がリトリーバル精度に与える影響を理解する上で重要。

🏢実務担当者:衛星データを利用した排出量検証の高速化に応用可能。

🏛政策担当者:排出監視のリアルタイム化による政策効果の検証に寄与。

📄 Abstract(原文)

Abstract. Greenhouse gas (GHG) retrievals rely on repeated evaluations of computationally expensive physics-based forward models, which limit the feasibility of near-real-time retrievals and timely detection of emission hotspots. A promising alternative is to replace these forward models with fast machine learning emulators trained to approximate their input-output mapping, while retaining the overall retrieval algorithm. Here, we assess the feasibility of this approach in the context of the Sentinel-5 mission, systematically comparing two different emulation strategies: an end-to-end approach, which directly approximates the full forward model with neural networks, and a hybrid approach, which combines fast non-scattering simulations with a neural network-based correction for atmospheric scattering effects. We comprehensively validate each emulator in the full retrieval chain, evaluating their impact on the accuracy of retrieved XCO2 and XCH4. Our results show that a hybrid approach is needed to meet the stringent accuracy requirements on XCH4 and XCO2. While the end-to-end emulator achieves large speed-ups exceeding a factor of 300, it introduces considerable errors of 7.22 ppb for XCH4 and 4.25 ppm for XCO2 compared to full-physics retrievals, and fails to generalize to high-emission scenarios beyond the training range. In contrast, the hybrid approach can effectively leverage the information provided by the non-scattering approximation, reducing emulator-induced retrieval errors to less than 1.5 ppb for XCH4 and 0.5 ppm for XCO2, while still being an order of magnitude faster than full-physics retrievals and maintaining robust performance for high-emission scenarios. Together, these results pave the way for operational deployment of neural network-based forward models in GHG retrievals from Sentinel-5, and more broadly demonstrate the potential of hybrid machine learning emulators to facilitate timely and accurate processing of the rapidly growing data volumes from modern satellite missions.

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