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Turkey's Shift to Renewables: Analyzing the NREAP's Effects on Hydropower, Wind, and Solar Energy

トルコの再生可能エネルギーへの移行:NREAPが水力、風力、太陽光エネルギーに与える影響の分析 (AI 翻訳)

Muhammad Awais Ather Bashir, Yasir Bashir, Altuğ Murat Köktaş Köktaş, Koray PİRÇEKLİ, Zohaib Ali

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-06-30#再生可能エネルギー対象セクター: power
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.21639630
原典: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21639630

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究はトルコの2014年国家再生可能エネルギー行動計画(NREAP)の効果を合成コントロール法で分析した。結果、再生可能エネルギーシェアが14%増加し、太陽光・風力が牽引したが、水力と温室効果ガス排出への有意な影響は見られなかった。追加政策の必要性を示唆。

English

This study evaluates Turkey's 2014 National Renewable Energy Action Plan using synthetic control method. Findings show a 14% increase in renewable electricity share driven by solar and wind, but no significant impact on hydro share or greenhouse gas emissions, indicating the need for complementary policies.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

トルコの再生可能エネルギー政策の実証分析は、日本のエネルギー転換政策(FIT・FIP等)との比較に示唆を与える。ただしトルコ固有の文脈に注意。

In the global GX context

This paper provides causal evidence on renewable energy policy effectiveness, relevant for global energy transition. It highlights that renewable deployment alone may not reduce emissions without accompanying measures.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:The synthetic control method application to renewable energy policy evaluation offers a methodological reference.

🏢実務担当者:Renewable energy investors can observe policy-driven growth in solar and wind in Turkey.

🏛政策担当者:The finding that renewable share increased but emissions did not decline underscores the need for integrated climate policies.

📄 Abstract(原文)

In this study, this study analyzes the impact of Turkey’s 2014 National Renewable Energy Action Plan (NREAP) on renewable energy deployment and greenhouse gas emissions is evaluated. Using the synthetic control method, this study analyzes the causal effect of the NREAP on the share of renewable energy in electricity generation, disaggregating by hydro, solar, and wind power, as well as its impact on per capita greenhouse gas emissions. Our findings reveal 14 % increase in the total renewable share of electricity following the NREAP implementation, primarily driven by growth in solar and wind energy. However, no significant impact is observed on the hydro share and greenhouse gas emissions. Robustness checks using placebo tests largely support these findings. The results indicate that, with regard to some renewable energy technologies, the NREAP has effectively spurred growth. This study concludes that the implementation of additional policies is essential to achieving broader environmental objectives.

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