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The Conditions for Emissions: Exploring the Dynamics of Carbon Policy Emissions Across the United States

排出の条件:米国全体の炭素政策排出のダイナミクスを探る (AI 翻訳)

Travis Wagher, Joshua Mitchell

Politics & Policyプレプリント2026-03-12#炭素価格Origin: US
DOI: 10.1111/polp.70130
原典: https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.70130

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は、米国州レベルでの炭素価格政策の導入要因を分析。政治的傾向や利益団体の影響など、導入確率を高める変数と排出削減に寄与する変数の重複を特定。2005~2020年の州データを用い、政策導入促進と排出削減の両方に有効な要因を明らかにした。

English

This paper investigates the adoption of carbon pricing policies across U.S. states, using data from 2005-2020. It identifies factors that increase adoption likelihood, such as political landscape and interest groups, and finds overlap with variables that reduce emissions. The results suggest potential for policy incentives targeting both adoption and emission reduction.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本の炭素税や排出量取引制度の導入検討において、政治的障壁や利害関係者の影響を理解する上で示唆に富む。ただし米国特有の連邦制・二大政党制の影響が強く、直接適用には注意が必要。

In the global GX context

This study contributes to the global understanding of carbon pricing adoption dynamics, relevant for countries implementing Article 6 of the Paris Agreement or designing domestic carbon markets. It highlights the role of political factors and interest groups, which are transferable insights for international climate policy.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Useful for scholars studying policy diffusion and political economy of carbon pricing.

🏢実務担当者:Offers insights into political risks and stakeholder dynamics affecting corporate carbon strategy.

🏛政策担当者:Provides evidence on which factors can facilitate carbon pricing adoption and emission reductions simultaneously.

📄 Abstract(原文)

ABSTRACT In this paper, we investigate the adoption of carbon pricing policies within the U.S. across states. While policymakers have many tools at their disposal, carbon pricing is a policy option that utilizes market theories to curtail harmful effects from emissions through pricing structures. This is important because as global warming issues become more evident, policy efforts will be needed to intervene. If we can understand what factors drive adoption and the dynamics involved, there is a potential to incentivize policy adoption. In this study, we first examine the factors that drive carbon pricing policy adoption in US states. Then, in response to the findings from the first model, we determine the factors that are driving carbon emissions to identify the overlap in variables that increase the likelihood of carbon pricing policy adoption and decrease carbon emissions. Examining state data from 2005 to 2020, we find that a multitude of factors influence interstate carbon pricing policy adoption, including the political landscape of the state, and the presence of interest groups to name a few. Some overlap is shared between increased likelihood of carbon pricing policy adoption and reduced carbon emissions, therefore it would be beneficial for policymakers and environmentalists to collaborate and potentially incentivize adoption. Related Articles Hedegaard, T. F., and K. Kongshøj. 2024. “Carbon Tax Revenues and How to Spend Them: Danes' Attitudes Toward Revenue Recycling.” Politics & Policy 52, no. 5: 992–1012. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12619 . Joo, J., J. Paavola, and J. Van Alstine. 2023. “The Divergence of South Korea's Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) from the EU ETS: An Institutional Complementarity View.” Politics & Policy 51, no. 6: 1155–1173. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12566 . Asadnabizadeh, M. 2024. “Did the Glasgow COP26 Negotiations Meet or Miss Article 6 (Carbon Markets) of the Paris Agreement? A Systematic Review of the Literature.” Politics & Policy 52, no. 4: 757–777. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12621 .

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