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Determinants of Renewable Energy Intensity in Sub-Saharan Africa

サハラ以南アフリカにおける再生可能エネルギー強度の決定要因 (AI 翻訳)

OSEI-GYEBI S, Adenikinju A, Adeniyi O, Ajayi P

Research Squareプレプリント2026-05-18#再生可能エネルギー
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-9719279/v1
原典: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-9719279/v1

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、サハラ以南アフリカ30カ国を対象に1996〜2021年のデータを用いて、再生可能エネルギー強度(REI)の決定要因を分析。REIに対して、再生可能エネルギー消費、FDI、GDP成長は正の影響、貧困率と人口増加は負の影響を与えることを発見。さらに貧困がGDP成長の効果を減殺するため、貧困削減が再生可能エネルギー移行に不可欠であると結論。地域ごとの違いも指摘。

English

This study analyzes determinants of renewable energy intensity (REI) across 30 Sub-Saharan African countries from 1996 to 2021. It finds that renewable energy consumption, FDI, and GDP growth positively affect REI, while poverty and population growth reduce it. Poverty also negatively moderates the effect of GDP growth, highlighting the need for integrated poverty reduction and renewable energy policies. Sub-regional heterogeneity suggests tailored approaches.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本企業がアフリカで再生可能エネルギー事業を展開する際、投資先国の貧困状況が投資効果に影響する可能性を示唆。日本のGX国際協力戦略において、貧困削減と再エネ促進の統合的アプローチが有効であることを示す。

In the global GX context

This paper provides robust empirical evidence on the drivers of renewable energy intensity in Africa, emphasizing the critical moderating role of poverty. It supports the global push for a just transition and highlights the need for integrated policy frameworks combining poverty reduction with renewable energy deployment, relevant for international climate finance and SDG 7.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:An empirical contribution to understanding renewable energy intensity determinants in Africa, with methodological rigor using CS-ARDL and Driscoll-Kraay.

🏢実務担当者:Highlights the importance of addressing poverty as a barrier to renewable energy adoption, informing project design in developing regions.

🏛政策担当者:Provides evidence for designing differentiated renewable energy policies across African sub-regions and integrating poverty reduction into energy transition plans.

📄 Abstract(原文)

<title>Abstract</title> <p> The devastating consequences of climate change have intensified the global imperative for renewable energy transition, with particular urgency in Africa, where vulnerability to climatic impacts is compounded by persistent poverty and weak institutions. Although existing literature has examined the determinants of renewable energy consumption and energy intensity separately, a gap remains in understanding the drivers of renewable energy intensity (REI) in Africa, how these drivers vary across sub-regions, and how the interaction between income growth and poverty shapes REI. This study employed the Driscoll-Kraay Fixed Effects estimator and the Cross-Sectionally Augmented ARDL (CS-ARDL) technique to analyse data on 30 African countries over the period 1996 to 2021. Findings reveal that renewable energy consumption, foreign direct investment, and GDP growth each exert a positive effect on REI, while headcount poverty and population growth reduce it. Sub-regional heterogeneity in the drivers of REI further suggests that uniform, continent-wide policies to promote renewable energy penetration may yield suboptimal outcomes. Additionally, headcount poverty is found to negatively moderate the effect of GDP growth on REI, stressing the centrality of poverty reduction in renewable energy transition pathways. African policymakers should therefore prioritise targeted investments in poverty reduction alongside renewable energy financing strategies to accelerate the penetration and intensity of renewable energy across the continent. <bold>JEL codes</bold> : E21, Q41, Q50 </p>

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