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Uncovering fragmented transitions in green shipping corridors: A data-driven analysis of development dynamics and bottlenecks

グリーン海運回廊における断片化した移行の解明:開発ダイナミクスとボトルネックのデータ駆動分析 (AI 翻訳)

Fan H, Yang Z

Research Squareプレプリント2026-05-22#エネルギー転換Origin: Global
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-9476108/v1
原典: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-9476108/v1

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、2021~2025年のGlobal Maritime Forum報告書を用いたテキストマイニングにより、グリーン海運回廊(GSC)の開発におけるボトルネックを分析。代替燃料への関心は逆U字型、港湾インフラ制約は増加傾向を示し、燃料、インフラ、需要の間に構造的不整合があることを発見。調整された政策介入の必要性を指摘。

English

This study analyzes green shipping corridors using text mining on Global Maritime Forum reports from 2021-2025. It identifies four key bottlenecks: alternative fuels, port infrastructure, market demand, and governance. Temporal analysis shows declining attention to fuels but rising infrastructure constraints, with structural misalignments between them. Coordinated policies are needed to overcome implementation barriers.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本は世界有数の海運国であり、グリーン海運回廊の推進はGX政策の重要な柱。本研究は、日本の港湾・海運企業が燃料転換とインフラ投資の連携を考える上で示唆に富む。また、官民の調整メカニズム構築に役立つ。

In the global GX context

Green shipping corridors are a central concept in the IMO's and EU's maritime decarbonization strategies. This paper provides empirical evidence of fragmentation between fuel, infrastructure, and market formation, highlighting the need for coordinated policy intervention and cost-sharing mechanisms to avoid commercial deadlocks.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides empirical evidence of fragmented transitions in maritime decarbonization, useful for studying system-level misalignments and policy coordination.

🏢実務担当者:Shipping companies and port operators can identify key bottlenecks (especially port infrastructure) to align investment and operational strategies.

🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need for coordinated policies across fuel, infrastructure, and demand aggregation to accelerate green corridor implementation.

📄 Abstract(原文)

<title>Abstract</title> <p>Green shipping Corridors (GSCs) have emerged as a key strategy for accelerating the decarbonization of the maritime sector. Despite the rapid expansion of initiatives, only a limited number of corridors have progressed to practical implementation, raising questions about the underlying constraints in their developments. Drawing on Global Maritime Forum reports from 2021 to 2025, this study employs a data-driven text mining approach to systematically identifying the key bottlenecks and evolving dynamics influencing GSC developments. The results reveal four dominant thematic dimensions, including alternative fuel pathways, port infrastructure, market demand, and governance frameworks. Temporal analysis indicates a reversed U-shaped trend in attention to alternative fuels, while infrastructure-related constraints show a continuous increase, suggesting that port infrastructure is becoming a primary barrier in corridor implementation. Correlation analysis further uncovers structural misalignments across system components. A significant negative relationship is identified between alternative fuel pathways and port infrastructure development, while near-zero correlations are observed between fuel pathways and demand aggregation, as well as between institutional frameworks and infrastructure deployment. These findings provide empirical evidence of a fragmented transition process in GSC development, where technological innovation, infrastructure investment, and market formation evolve unevenly. This misalignment contributes to persistent implementation barriers and commercial deadlocks. The study highlights the need for coordinated policy interventions, including collective cost-sharing mechanisms and stronger project-level policy alignment, to facilitate the large-scale realization of GSCs.</p>

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