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Energy technology choices shaping the air quality and health effects of a Net-Zero transition

ネットゼロ移行における大気質と健康影響を形作るエネルギー技術選択 (AI 翻訳)

Jinyu Shiwang, Wei Peng, John E. Bistline, Jamil Farbes, Xinyuan Huang, Gokul Iyer, Jesse Jenkins, Eladio Knipping, Nicholas Mailloux, Erin Mayfield, Aranya Venkatesh, Alicia Zhao, Qianru Zhu

📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-05-18#エネルギー転換Origin: US
DOI: 10.1149/osf.io/fcgw6_v1
原典: https://doi.org/10.1149/osf.io/fcgw6_v1

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は、3つの米国エネルギーシステムモデルを用いて、ネットゼロ排出への移行が大気質と健康に与える影響を分析。結果、移行によりPM2.5濃度と関連死亡率が全国的に減少する一方、その恩恵はモデルや地域によって大きく異なることを示す。特に二酸化炭素除去技術の活用が排出の地域間再配分を引き起こし、局所的な汚染増加につながる可能性がある。

English

This multi-model analysis of U.S. net-zero transition finds robust nationwide reductions in PM2.5 and associated mortality, but benefits vary substantially across models and regions due to differences in sectoral mitigation allocation and use of carbon dioxide removal, which can relocate residual emissions and sometimes increase local pollution.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本でも2050年ネットゼロ目標の達成に向け、大気質改善などの健康 cobenefits が注目される。本論文は、二酸化炭素除去技術の導入が地域間公平性に与える影響など、日本政策にも示唆を与える分析結果を提供する。

In the global GX context

This paper contributes to the global understanding of net-zero transition cobenefits and trade-offs, highlighting how carbon dioxide removal can shift pollution burdens across regions—a critical insight for designing equitable climate policies worldwide.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Multi-model comparison reveals robust findings and uncertainties in health cobenefits of net-zero transitions, informing further research on sectoral strategies and CDR deployment.

🏢実務担当者:Corporate decarbonization planners can use these insights to anticipate how net-zero strategies may affect local air quality and stakeholder relations.

🏛政策担当者:Policymakers should consider that CDR and sectoral mitigation choices influence the distribution of air quality benefits, requiring careful policy design to avoid local pollution hotspots.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Transitioning to a net-zero emissions economy can provide air quality and health benefits. Yet it is still unclear how different low-carbon energy strategies influence the overall benefits and their distribution. Based on a multi-model analysis using three leading energy models for the U.S. (GCAM-USA, US-REGEN, and REPEAT), we demonstrate that a net-zero transition from now to 2050 yields robust nationwide reductions in ambient concentrations of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and associated mortality. However, the health co-benefits achieved in the net-zero scenarios relative to business-as-usual baselines vary substantially across models and regions. These differences largely result from how mitigation efforts are allocated across sectors, especially the use of carbon dioxide removal technologies, which can relocate residual emissions across regions and, in some cases, increase local pollution levels. As pollution from non-energy activities such as wildfires continues to grow, minimizing energy-related emissions is critical to counteract potential increases in other sectors.

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