スコットランドにおけるボランタリーカーボン市場：土地システム・気候変動・生態系サービスを結ぶ地理空間分析
Voluntary Carbon Markets in Scotland: A Geospatial Analysis Linking Land Systems, Climate Change, and Ecosystem Services (原題)
Jason P. Julian, Fatema Tarin, Anupa Bhatta, Kaitlynn Dusek, P. Carolina Cambron
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
スコットランドのWoodland Carbon CodeとPeatland Codeの906件・253件のプロジェクトを2000〜2025年にわたり地理空間的に分析。植林74,909ha、泥炭地回復35,448haが計画される一方、土地所有の偏在により恩恵が一部の大地主に集中し、生態系サービスは広く住民に及ぶことを示した。気候変動（+1.5℃、+150mm）が炭素貯留に与える影響も考察。
English
A geospatial analysis of 906 Woodland Carbon Code and 253 Peatland Code projects in Scotland (2000–2025) reveals 74,909 ha of planned woodland planting and 35,448 ha of peatland restoration. Benefits accrue disproportionately to few large landowners, while ecosystem services benefit the wider population. Warming (+1.5°C) and increased precipitation (+150 mm) affect carbon storage.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本でもJ-クレジットや自然資本保全の議論が進む中、ボランタリークレジットの空間分布と土地所有の公平性を定量的に示した点は、国内の森林・農地クレジット制度設計や生物多様性オフセットの参考になる。
In the global GX context
As voluntary carbon markets expand globally under Article 6 and TNFD, this study provides empirical evidence on how landownership shapes benefit distribution in nature-based credits, informing equitable market design and disclosure of nature-related dependencies.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:自然資本クレジットの空間分析手法と土地所有データの統合例として有用。
🏢実務担当者:自然資本クレジット調達や生物多様性オフセットのリスク評価に示唆。
🏛政策担当者:ボランタリー市場の公平性確保と土地所有規制の必要性を示す。
📄 Abstract（原文）
Natural capital markets in Scotland are evolving to respond to climate and biodiversity crises. The Woodland Carbon Code (WCC) and Peatland Code (PC) are established voluntary carbon markets that have attracted investors and promoted environmental restoration. Yet, a comprehensive analysis has not been carried out to assess the potential impacts and benefits of these carbon credit projects. Here, we present an environmental geography of carbon credits in Scotland that examines their spatiotemporal distributions, landholding dynamics, protection status, restoration area, land cover change, climate characteristics, emissions reduction potential, and ecosystem service areas. We analyzed WCC and PC projects from 2000 to 2025 and compared them to a suite of environmental and socioeconomic datasets. The 906 WCC projects plan to plant 74,909 ha of woodlands, with the smallest being 0.4 ha and the largest being 5601 ha (median = 35 ha). Most of the woodlands planted under the WCC were relatively small with marginal land cover change. The 253 PC projects plan to restore 35,448 ha of peatlands, with a median project area of 115 ha. Half of the PC projects (interquartile range) were between 70 and 185 ha, and almost a fifth exceeded 200 ha. Significant warming (+1.5 °C) and increased precipitation (+150 mm) over the past 60 years have implications for present and future carbon storage. Our most interesting results were landownership dynamics, where less than 3% of the landed estates (median) were set aside for restoration. While relatively few large landowners benefit financially from carbon credit projects, most of Scotland’s population benefits from their local and regional ecosystem services. Our findings are relevant for climate change mitigation and ecosystem restoration planning in Scotland and land systems beyond.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.3390/land15101880first seen 2026-10-08 04:57:38
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