運輸部門におけるエネルギー転換の財政・社会経済的影響：バスク州の事例
The fiscal and socioeconomic impact of the energy transition in the transport sector: The case of the Basque Country (原題)
Iñaki Arto, Mikel Erkoreka, Cristina Pizarro-Irizar, Nerea Urrutia
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文は、欧州グリーンディールの目標に沿った2050年の気候中立経済への移行に伴う財政課題を、地域レベルで分析する。バスク州を対象に、動学的計量経済モデルDERIOを用いて運輸部門の脱炭素化が公共財政に与える影響を定量化。電気自動車への移行は生産・所得・富裕税や社会保障負担を増やす一方、製品税収を減らし、全体では純減となることを示す。
English
This paper analyzes the fiscal challenges of transitioning to a climate-neutral economy by 2050, focusing on the Basque Country, a region with significant fiscal autonomy in the EU. Using a dynamic econometric New Keynesian Input-Output model (DERIO), it quantifies the impact of transport decarbonization on public finances. Findings show that transport electrification increases revenues from production, income, wealth, and corporate taxes, but reduces product tax revenues, leading to an overall net decline. The study highlights complex cross-sectoral transmission mechanisms and offers insights for designing revenue-stable fiscal frameworks.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本では、2050年カーボンニュートラルに向けた運輸部門の電動化が進むが、税収への影響は十分に議論されていない。本論文の地域財政分析は、地方自治体や国の税制設計に示唆を与える。特に、自動車関連税（燃料税など）の減収を補う財源確保の検討に有用。
In the global GX context
This paper contributes to global discussions on fiscal sustainability during the low-carbon transition, particularly for sub-national governments with fiscal autonomy. It provides a rigorous regional-level analysis that complements national-level studies, offering insights for policymakers designing carbon-neutral strategies while maintaining revenue stability. The findings are relevant for regions in the EU and beyond facing similar challenges.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a regional-level quantitative framework (DERIO) for assessing fiscal impacts of transport electrification, useful for extending to other regions or sectors.
🏢実務担当者:Offers insights for corporate tax planning and understanding how transport decarbonization may affect public revenues, relevant for industries with significant tax contributions.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need for fiscal reforms to offset revenue losses from transport electrification, informing regional and national tax policy design.
📄 Abstract（原文）
This paper analyses the fiscal challenges of the climate-neutral economy transition by 2050 in line with the European Green Deal's goals. It focuses on the regional level and examines the Basque Country, one of the sub-state entities with the greatest fiscal power in the European Union, and aims to quantify the implications of decarbonising the transport sector for public finances. To this end, it applies DERIO, a dynamic econometric New Keynesian Input-Output model, designed to evaluate the economic effects of scenarios and policies at regional level, particularly those related to energy and climate change. Our analysis indicates that transport electrification increases revenues from taxes on production, income, wealth, and corporate profits, as well as social-security contributions. However, it reduces receipts from taxes on products and yields an overall net decline in public revenues. The results highlight the complex, cross-sectoral transmission mechanisms at play during the transition and offer actionable insights for designing revenue-stable fiscal frameworks in the face of large structural changes.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2026.115534first seen 2026-09-01 05:07:53
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