AtlantECO Deliverable - D08.1 - Report on the assessment of future ecosystem drivers, stressors, regime shifts and tipping points
AtlantECO 成果物 D08.1 - 将来の生態系ドライバー、ストレッサー、体制シフト、および転換点の評価に関する報告書 (AI 翻訳)
Gillian B. Ainsworth, Germain Bénard, Francesco Bosello, Donata Melaku Canu, Elisa Delpiazzo, Jacobo Feás, Thomas L. Frölicher, Marion Gehlen, R.M. Key, Simone Libralato, Katherine C. Longo, Marco Reale, Jonathan Rogerson, Gabriele Standardi, Alessandro Tagliabue, Marcello Vichi, S. Villasante, Mathieu Vrac, Serena Zunino
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
AtlantECOプロジェクトのWP8は、気候変動と社会経済シナリオに基づく大西洋の生態系サービスの将来変化を予測する。本報告書は、将来の環境要因とストレッサーを特定し、気候極端現象や不可逆的な変化（転換点）の可能性を分析する。生態系の健全性とサービスの統合評価を通じて、科学的根拠に基づく意思決定を支援する。
English
This deliverable of the AtlantECO project assesses future changes in Atlantic ecosystem services under climate and socio-economic scenarios. It identifies environmental drivers and stressors, including projected climate extremes and tipping points. The work integrates climate projections, biogeochemical models, and socio-economic analysis to support science-informed decision-making.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
本論文は大西洋の生態系に焦点を当てており、日本のGX政策との直接的な関連は薄いが、気候変動の転換点や生態系サービスの評価手法は国際的な知見として参考になる。
In the global GX context
This research contributes to global understanding of climate tipping points and ecosystem services, which are relevant for climate risk assessment in frameworks like TCFD and ISSB. It underscores the need to incorporate ecological thresholds into climate scenario analysis.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Climate scientists and ecologists studying tipping points and regime shifts in marine ecosystems will find the integrated modeling approach valuable.
🏛政策担当者:Policymakers involved in climate adaptation and marine conservation can use this to anticipate abrupt changes in Atlantic ecosystem services.
📄 Abstract（原文）
The Work Package 8 (WP8) of the AtlantECO project focuses on anticipating future changes in basin-scale Atlantic ecosystem services in response to environmental and socio-economic drivers. In alignment with AtlantECO's Objective 4, WP8 aims to deliver a systemic approach to support science-informed decision-making through scenario development, predictive modeling, and integrated analyses of ecosystem health and services. WP8 combines climate projections, biogeochemical models, and socio-economic analysis to evaluate risks of tipping points, regime shifts, and changes in provisioning, supporting, and regulating services such as carbon sequestration, nutrient recycling, and primary production. A significant portion of the results was already achieved prior to the official deadline and presented in previous interim reports an deliverables. However, as this is the final report, these results will be revisited and summarized in the relevant sections to ensure completeness and coherence. WP8 is structured around four main deliverables, each addressing a critical aspect of the prediction and evaluation of ecosystem services under future climate and socio-economic scenarios. Here we present the deliverable D8.1: Report on the assessment of future ecosystem drivers, stressors, regime shifts and tippingpoints. This deliverable focuses on the identification of future environmental drivers and stressors influencing the Atlantic ecosystems. It integrates analyses of projected climate extremes, the potential for abrupt and irreversible changes (tipping points), and mechanisms driving regime shifts.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19576146first seen 2026-05-05 19:13:44
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