Concentrated declines, distributed growth, and the challenges of balancing the green energy transition in the US
集中する衰退、分散する成長：米国におけるグリーンエネルギー転換のバランスを取る課題 (AI 翻訳)
Stephen Stack, D. O’Rourke
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文は、2004年から2021年の米国本土のデータを用いて、一次エネルギー生産の地理的変化を分析。化石燃料から再生可能エネルギーへの移行が、地域的に集中した生産から全国的な分散型へと変化していることを明らかにした。2021年の風力・太陽光発電のうち、化石燃料地域で発生したのは3分の1未満であり、化石燃料の減少を再生可能エネルギーが補っている例は少数にとどまる。地域密着型のグリーン産業戦略や多様な経済開発戦略の必要性を議論している。
English
This paper analyzes the changing geography of U.S. primary energy production from 2004 to 2021, finding a shift from concentrated fossil fuel to distributed renewable energy. Less than one third of wind and solar generation in 2021 occurred in fossil fuel regions, and few cases show renewables offsetting local fossil fuel decline. The study discusses policy implications for place-based green industrial strategies.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本のエネルギー転換においても、石炭や原子力に依存する地域と再生可能エネルギーの適地が一致しない課題が存在。本論文の知見は、地域別のグリーン産業戦略を立案する上で示唆に富む。
In the global GX context
This study provides empirical evidence on the spatial mismatch between fossil fuel decline and renewable growth, a key challenge for just transition globally. It highlights the need for diversified regional policies rather than relying solely on renewable deployment to replace fossil fuel jobs.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Energy geography and regional economic transition scholars will find the spatial-quantitative methodology and empirical patterns useful for comparative studies.
🏢実務担当者:Corporate sustainability teams can understand the geographic complexities of renewable energy deployment, informing site selection and regional engagement strategies.
🏛政策担当者:Regulators and policy offices should note the limited overlap between fossil fuel regions and renewable growth, emphasizing the need for targeted place-based policies beyond simply promoting renewables.
📄 Abstract（原文）
The clean energy transition, while critical for reducing greenhouse gas emissions, poses a threat to regions specialized in fossil fuel extraction. Advocates point to the development of green industries in those places as a solution. However, it is not clear that these industries will emerge in the same regions as fossil fuel extraction. This paper maps the changing geography of U.S. primary energy production by assembling a dataset across the contiguous U.S. between 2004 and 2021, and uses a spatial-quantitative approach to describe how the geography of primary energy production has changed over this period. We find that the primary energy transition involves a shift in both technology and geography, from regionally concentrated fossil fuel production to nationally distributed renewable energy. Less than one third of wind and solar generation in 2021 occurred in areas specialized in fossil fuel extraction. There are few examples of cases where declines in fossil fuels have been offset by growth in wind and solar electricity generation. Our research documents well-known patterns of regional decline, as well as a small number of surprising cases of renewables growth in fossil fuel heavy regions. We discuss the policy implications of these findings for place-based green industrial strategies, and the need for diversified economic development strategies that help regions transition away from fossil fuel extraction.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pstr.0000217first seen 2026-05-15 20:18:57
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