UNLOCKING ENERGY TRANSITION: LCOE VALUES FOR TECHNO-ECONOMIC SCENARIOS
エネルギー転換の解明：技術経済シナリオのためのLCOE値 (AI 翻訳)
P. Lee
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文はエクアドルのエネルギー転換を対象に、太陽光・風力・地熱・分散型蓄電のLCOEを推計し、3つの政策シナリオ下での雇用・排出削減効果を分析。結果、太陽光・風力は既に競争力があり、譲許的資金によりLCOEは化石燃料を下回る。変革的シナリオでは2040年までに7万人の純雇用創出と4000万トン超のCO2削減が可能だが、財政制約・系統統合コスト・ガバナンス能力が課題。政策ミックスと公正な移行の重要性を強調。
English
This paper evaluates the energy transition in Ecuador by estimating LCOE for solar, wind, geothermal, and distributed storage across three policy pathways. Solar PV and wind are already cost-competitive, and concessional finance can lower LCOE below fossil alternatives. Ambitious scenarios could create up to 70,000 net jobs and cut over 40 MtCO₂ by 2040, contingent on retraining and just transition programs. Fiscal constraints, grid integration, and governance are key barriers. Findings offer a roadmap for balancing sustainability, competitiveness, and equity in developing countries.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本でも再生可能エネルギーの導入拡大と雇用創出の両立が課題。エクアドル事例から、政策の一貫性、社会的セーフガード、譲許的資金の活用など、公正な移行に向けた示唆を得られる。
In the global GX context
This paper provides empirical evidence on LCOE and employment impacts of renewable energy in a developing country context, contributing to global debates on energy transition finance and just transition. It highlights the role of policy mixes and concessional finance in accelerating decarbonization while delivering social co-benefits.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Offers a replicable techno-economic framework for estimating LCOE and job impacts in emerging economies.
🏢実務担当者:Actionable insights on policy design (incentives, blended finance) and just transition measures for corporate sustainability teams.
🏛政策担当者:Evidence-based roadmap for balancing renewable deployment, fiscal constraints, and social equity in national energy planning.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Ecuador’s energy transition represents both a challenge and an opportunity to align national development objectives with global decarbonization goals. This paper evaluates how coherent policy mixes combining regulatory reform, fiscal incentives, public investment, blended finance, and social safeguards can accelerate the adoption of low-carbon technologies while delivering social and economic co-benefits. A techno-economic scenario is conducted to model solar, wind, geothermal, and distributed storage to estimate levelized costs of electricity (LCOE) and employment outcomes across three policy pathways. Results indicate that solar PV and wind are already cost-competitive, with LCOE values falling below fossil alternatives when concessional finance reduces the discount rate. Transformative scenarios can create up to 70,000 net jobs and cut more than 40 MtCO₂ by 2040, provided that retraining and just transition programs are implemented. However, fiscal constraints, grid integration costs, and governance capacity remain key bottlenecks. The findings underscore the centrality of finance, predictable incentive frameworks, and inclusive policy design for enabling Ecuador to achieve an economically feasible and socially equitable energy transition. This study contributes an evidence-based roadmap that situates Ecuador within broader Latin American energy trends and offers actionable recommendations for policymakers seeking to balance sustainability, competitiveness, and equity.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://doi.org/10.14455/isec.2026.13(1).enr-01first seen 2026-05-15 21:30:33
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