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Innovation as a shortcut to decarbonization: evidence from emerging markets beyond the environmental Kuznets Curve

脱炭素への近道としてのイノベーション:環境クズネッツ曲線を超えた新興市場の証拠 (AI 翻訳)

Merve Sahin, Selim Zaim, Ibrahim Bague, Ali Reza Ghezel

Bussecon Review of Social Sciences (2687-2285)📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-06-07#エネルギー転換
DOI: 10.36096/1f4qh803
原典: https://doi.org/10.36096/1f4qh803
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

新興市場におけるイノベーション(R&D支出)がCO2排出削減に直接効果を持つかを、2000〜2020年のパネルデータで検証。固定効果推定の結果、イノベーションは排出削減に有意に寄与するが、非線形項は有意でなく、イノベーション主導の環境クズネッツ曲線(EKC)は支持されない。技術進歩がクリーン生産と効率改善を通じて脱炭素に寄与することを示し、政策含意を提示。

English

This study examines whether innovation (R&D expenditure) directly reduces CO2 emissions in emerging markets using panel data from 2000-2020. Fixed-effects estimations show innovation significantly lowers emissions, but the nonlinear term is insignificant, rejecting an innovation-driven Environmental Kuznets Curve. The findings suggest technological advancement supports decarbonization through cleaner production and efficiency, offering policy implications for low-carbon transitions.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本のGX政策では、イノベーション促進が成長と脱炭素の両立に重要とされる。本研究成果は、新興国市場での技術政策の効果を示すもので、日本の国際協力や海外展開戦略に示唆を与える。

In the global GX context

This paper contributes to global GX literature by extending the EKC framework to innovation as a direct decarbonization mechanism in emerging markets. It provides empirical evidence for policymakers designing innovation-oriented climate policies, relevant to global discussions on technology transfer and sustainable development.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides empirical evidence on innovation's direct effect on emissions, extending EKC literature beyond income.

🏢実務担当者:May inform corporate R&D investment strategies in emerging markets for decarbonization.

🏛政策担当者:Highlights the role of innovation policy in accelerating low-carbon transitions in emerging economies.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Arising carbon emissions and accelerating industrialization have intensified concerns regarding sustainable development in emerging markets. This study examines whether innovation functions as a direct mechanism for decarbonization and whether innovation-driven environmental dynamics follow the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) framework. Using panel data from emerging market economies over the period 2000–2020, the study applies fixed-effects estimation techniques to investigate both the linear and nonlinear effects of innovation on CO₂ emissions. Innovation is measured through research and development (R&D) expenditure, while industrialization, urbanization, trade openness, financial development, and ICT indicators are incorporated as control variables. The findings demonstrate that innovation significantly reduces CO₂ emissions, suggesting that technological advancement supports environmental sustainability through cleaner production systems and efficiency-enhancing mechanisms. However, the analysis does not support the existence of an innovation-driven EKC, as the nonlinear innovation term remains statistically insignificant. The study contributes to environmental sustainability literature by extending the EKC framework beyond conventional income-centered explanations and positioning innovation as a direct decarbonization mechanism in emerging economies. The findings further provide practical implications for policymakers seeking to accelerate low-carbon transitions through innovation-oriented industrial and technological policies.

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