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Carbon stock mapping and strategic analysis of Low-Carbon Development initiatives in North Konawe Regency, Indonesia

インドネシア・北コナウェ県における炭素ストックマッピングと低炭素開発イニシアチブの戦略的分析 (AI 翻訳)

Aslam Jumain, Nano Prawoto, Agus Tri Basuki

Springer Link (Chiba Institute of Technology)📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-04-23#炭素会計
DOI: 10.1051/bioconf/202623401006/pdf
原典: https://doi.org/10.1051/bioconf/202623401006/pdf

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、インドネシア・北コナウェ県における低炭素開発(LCD)の実施状況と課題を、炭素ストックマッピングとSWOT・PESTLE分析を用いて評価した。2019年から2024年にかけて総炭素ストックは13%増加したが、マングローブ生態系は80%減少し、23万6千トンの炭素損失が生じた。森林保全とマングローブ再生を組み合わせた生態系アプローチの必要性を提言している。

English

This study evaluates low-carbon development (LCD) in North Konawe, Indonesia, using carbon stock mapping and SWOT/PESTLE analyses. Total carbon stock increased 13% from 2019 to 2024, but mangroves declined 80%, causing a loss of 236,000 tons CO2. It recommends an ecosystem-based approach combining forest conservation and mangrove restoration.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本のGX政策(グリーン成長戦略、GXリーグ)では熱帯林・マングローブ保全が直接対象ではないが、地域レベルでの炭素ストック評価手法やステークホルダー分析の枠組みは、国内の地域脱炭素計画策定に応用可能。

In the global GX context

This paper adds to global scholarship on subnational low-carbon development by integrating carbon accounting with strategic analysis. It provides a replicable framework for assessing land-use change and carbon sequestration in tropical regions, relevant to REDD+ and NDC implementation.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Presents a combined GIS-SWOT-PESTLE methodology for local carbon stock assessment that can be adapted to other regions.

🏢実務担当者:Offers a practical framework for local governments to evaluate low-carbon initiatives and identify key intervention areas.

🏛政策担当者:Highlights the importance of integrated land management and the specific risks to mangrove ecosystems in regional climate mitigation plans.

📄 Abstract(原文)

This study examines the implementation and challenges of Low-Carbon Development (LCD) initiatives in North Konawe Regency, Southeast Sulawesi, during the period 2019-2024. Integrating geospatial carbon stock mapping with SWOT and PESTLE analyses, the research evaluates land-use change and its implications for carbon sequestration capacity. Using Geographic Information System (GIS) tools and IPCC (2006) emission factors, carbon stock was quantified across multiple land-use categories. Results indicate a 13% increase in total carbon stock from 224.7 million tons CO2 in 2019 to 254.4 million tons CO2 in 2024, mainly driven by the expansion of tropical forests, which contribute over 94% of total carbon storage. Conversely, mangrove ecosystems experienced a critical decline of 80%, resulting in a carbon loss of 236,000 tons CO2. SWOT analysis revealed significant strengths, including extensive forest cover and strong national policy support, while PESTLE analysis highlighted external challenges such as weak environmental enforcement, socioeconomic pressure, and limited regional financing. The integrated analytical framework underscores the need for a multi-stakeholder, ecosystem-based approach combining forest conservation, mangrove restoration, and sustainable land management to strengthen regional carbon resilience. These findings provide strategic insights for policymakers to design effective and sustainable mitigation programs aligned with Indonesia's national and global climate targets.

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