The Asymmetric Effect of Uncertainty on Environmental Degradation: A Study of the Interactive Role of Globalization and Energy Consumption
不確実性が環境悪化に与える非対称効果：グローバル化とエネルギー消費の相互作用に関する研究 (AI 翻訳)
Ali Moridian, Fatemeh Havasbeigi, Magdalena Radulescu, Heshmatullah Asgari, Parveen Kumar
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、MENA地域12か国（1995-2022）を対象に、経済政策不確実性（EPU）がCO2排出に与える非対称効果をパネルNARDLモデルで分析。正負のEPUショックはともに排出を増加させ、グローバル化は排出削減に寄与する一方、EPUの悪影響を増幅することを確認。エネルギー消費は排出を有意に増加させる。持続可能な開発には一貫した政策と再生可能エネルギー促進が必要と結論。
English
This study examines the asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on CO2 emissions in 12 MENA countries (1995-2022) using a panel NARDL model. Both positive and negative EPU shocks increase emissions, while globalization reduces emissions but amplifies the negative effect of EPU. Energy consumption significantly raises emissions. The findings highlight the need for consistent policies and renewable energy promotion for sustainable development.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
本論文はMENA地域を対象としており、日本のGX文脈に直接関連するものではない。しかし、政策不確実性とCO2排出の非対称効果を実証した点は、日本のカーボンプライシングや排出削減政策における不確実性の影響を考察する上で示唆的である。
In the global GX context
This paper provides empirical evidence on how economic policy uncertainty affects environmental degradation in the MENA region. Globally, it contributes to understanding the non-linear role of uncertainty in emissions, relevant for policymakers in emerging economies and for integrated assessment models incorporating policy uncertainty.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Useful for researchers studying the asymmetric effects of policy uncertainty on emissions, especially in developing regions.
🏛政策担当者:Policymakers in resource-dependent economies can learn how policy instability undermines environmental outcomes and the importance of stable regulatory frameworks.
📄 Abstract（原文）
ABSTRACT The degradation of the environment in the MENA region through the influence of fossil fuel reliance and instability of the policy implies the necessity to investigate the influence of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in carbon emissions. Since there is only little and non‐asymmetric evidence on the MENA countries, the study uses a panel NARDL model to test 12 countries (1995–2022) to determine the asymmetric impact of EPU whilst including globalization and energy consumption. The outcomes indicate that positive (0.89%), as well as negative (0.85%) shocks in EPU have a positive long‐term impact on CO 2 emissions. Globalization decreases emissions (0.23%) and aggravates the negative impact of EPU (0.21%), but the impact of energy consumption is majorly positive (0.88%). In the findings, the author highlights that to realize sustainable development in MENA, constant policies, the promotion of renewable energy, and organized regional approaches are necessary.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1002/gj.70299first seen 2026-05-15 17:09:28
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