Opportunities for Australia Amid China's Carbon‐Neutral Transition: Input–Output Approach With Analysis of Australian Renewable Potential
中国のカーボンニュートラル移行におけるオーストラリアの機会：オーストラリアの再生可能エネルギー潜在力の分析を伴う産業連関アプローチ (AI 翻訳)
Jinyong (Edward) Sung
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、中国の2060年カーボンニュートラル達成がオーストラリア経済に与える影響を、EXIOBASEを用いた静的・動的産業連関モデルで分析。ガス刺激策と再生可能エネルギー刺激策を比較し、再エネ策がより高い経済効果（ピーク時0.02）をもたらすことを示す。オーストラリアの炭素集約的輸出構造からの転換と再エネ投資の必要性を強調。
English
This study analyzes the economic impacts of China's carbon neutrality on Australia using static and dynamic input-output models with EXIOBASE. Comparing gas and renewable stimulus scenarios, it finds renewable-based stimulus yields higher peak output increases (0.02) and broader spillovers. It highlights the need for Australia to transition away from carbon-intensive exports and invest in renewables.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本は中国・豪州と異なるが、資源輸入国として中国の脱炭素がサプライチェーンに与える影響は共通。日本の再エネ政策や産業構造転換の議論に示唆を与える。
In the global GX context
This study contributes to global understanding of cross-country energy transition spillovers, using a novel dynamic IO framework. It offers insights for countries dependent on carbon-intensive exports and informs policy design for renewable stimulus, relevant to global decarbonization efforts.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a flexible dynamic IO framework for analyzing cross-country energy transition impacts, applicable to other bilateral trade contexts.
🏢実務担当者:Highlights the economic benefits of renewable investment over gas, informing corporate strategy in energy and resource sectors.
🏛政策担当者:Demonstrates the need for structural adjustment in carbon-intensive export economies, supporting renewable stimulus policies.
📄 Abstract（原文）
ABSTRACT A major transformation in China's energy mix is underway as the country pursues carbon neutrality by 2060, posing significant structural challenges for Australia as a major exporter of carbon‐intensive resources. This study examines the economic impacts of China's decarbonisation on Australia by applying static and dynamic input–output (IO) models using the Environmentally Extended Multi‐Regional Input–Output Database (EXIOBASE). Addressing a gap in the literature on bilateral spillover effects and policy‐responsive modelling, the study introduces a modular dynamic IO framework incorporating competing natural gas and renewable energy stimulus scenarios. The results show that China's decarbonisation negatively affects Australia's resource and mineral export sectors, with substantial inter‐industry propagation effects. While Australia's current gas‐focused policies generate limited economic benefits, with peak output increases of approximately 0.0075, its renewable energy–based stimulus yields significantly higher peak output increases of around 0.02, alongside broader spillover effects. This study contributes by developing a flexible and policy‐adaptive framework for analysing cross‐country energy transitions and their economic effects. The findings highlight the need for Australia to transition away from its carbon‐intensive export structure and accelerate investment in renewable energy industries to sustain long‐term economic resilience and competitiveness amid China's energy transition.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.71409first seen 2026-07-31 05:01:35
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