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新質生産力が高品質エネルギー発展に与える影響:中国のエネルギー転換からの実証

The Impact of New Quality Productive Forces on High-Quality Energy Development: Evidence from China’s Energy Transition (原題)

Linfeng Li, Yu Huilu, Hongqiang Jiang, Zihan Yuan, Xuan Li, Shilong Wang

Sci📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-09-14#エネルギー転換Origin: CN対象セクター: power
DOI: 10.3390/sci8090258
原典: https://doi.org/10.3390/sci8090258

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

中国30省の2012〜2023年パネルデータを用い、新質生産力(NQPF)が高品質エネルギー発展(HED)に与える影響を実証。NQPFは産業構造高度化と資源配分改善を通じてHEDを促進するが、隣接地域には負の空間スピルオーバーをもたらす。中西部・資源依存地域で効果が強く、地域別の差別化されたエネルギー治理戦略の必要性を示す。

English

Using panel data from 30 Chinese provinces (2012-2023), this study finds that new quality productive forces (NQPFs) significantly promote high-quality energy development (HED) via industrial upgrading and reduced resource misallocation. Effects are positive locally but show negative spatial spillovers to neighboring regions, and are stronger in central/western and resource-dependent areas, supporting differentiated energy governance.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

中国の政策概念「新質生産力」を軸とした実証で、日本のGX政策(GX推進法・SSBJ開示)とは直接接続しないが、地域別エネルギー治理の設計や産業構造転換と脱炭素の両立という論点は、日本の地域脱炭素・産業政策の参考になる。

In the global GX context

Adds Chinese provincial-level empirical evidence on how industrial upgrading and resource-allocation efficiency drive energy transition outcomes, with spatial spillover findings relevant to regional decarbonization policy design. Conceptually tied to China's domestic 'new quality productive forces' agenda rather than TCFD/ISSB disclosure frameworks.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:中国省別データでの空間スピルオーバーと異質性分析の手法・結果を、地域エネルギー転換研究の比較事例として活用できる。

🏢実務担当者:中国事業を持つ企業にとって、地域別の産業・エネルギー政策リスクと立地戦略の示唆を得られる。

🏛政策担当者:地域間の負のスピルオーバーを踏まえ、広域連携を伴う差別化されたエネルギー治理設計の必要性を示す。

📄 Abstract(原文)

Against the backdrop of an accelerating global energy transition and increasingly stringent carbon reduction targets, achieving high-quality energy development (HED) has emerged as a critical pathway toward green and low-carbon transformation. New quality productive forces (NQPFs) provide a new impetus for advancing HED. Using panel data from 30 Chinese provinces over the period of 2012–2023, this study systematically examines the impact of NQPFs on HED and further investigates the underlying mechanisms, spatial spillover effects, and regional and dimensional heterogeneity. The results reveal that: (1) NQPFs significantly promote HED, and this finding remains robust after a series of robustness checks and endogeneity treatments; (2) mechanism analysis indicates that NQPFs primarily enhance HED by promoting industrial structure upgrading and mitigating resource misallocation; (3) spatial analysis reveals that, while NQPFs significantly improve HED within a region, these generate a significant negative spatial spillover effect on HED in neighboring regions; (4) regional heterogeneity analysis shows that the positive effect of NQPFs is more pronounced in central and western China, resource-dependent regions, and areas with relatively weaker development foundations. Dimensional heterogeneity analysis further demonstrates that NQPFs exert stronger positive effects on the energy coordination, energy sharing, and green energy dimensions of HED. By incorporating NQPFs into the analytical framework of high-quality energy development, this study provides empirical evidence for advancing sustainable energy transformation and formulating differentiated energy governance strategies.

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