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Sustainable Development Regimes, Transition Dynamics and Environmental Performance in the European Union

欧州連合における持続可能な発展レジーム、移行ダイナミクス、環境パフォーマンス (AI 翻訳)

Valentina Constanta Tudor, Alina Mărcuţă, Liviu Mărcuţă, Cristiana Tindeche, Veronica Tiu, Marius Mihai Micu, D. I. Smedescu

Sustainability📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-07-15#エネルギー転換Origin: EU対象セクター: cross_sector
DOI: 10.3390/su18147219
原典: https://doi.org/10.3390/su18147219
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、EU27か国の2015~2024年のパネルデータを用いて、持続可能な発展のレジームをクラスター分析で特定し、遷移行列でその持続性を評価した。パネル計量分析により、再生可能エネルギー導入と資源生産性が温室効果ガス排出削減の主要な決定要因であることを実証。さらに、Petri Netモデルで代替的な移行経路を概念的に提示し、政策立案への示唆を提供する。

English

This study analyzes sustainable development pathways in the EU-27 using panel data from 2015-2024. It identifies four distinct sustainability regimes via cluster analysis, assesses their persistence with transition matrices, and finds via panel econometrics that renewable energy deployment and resource productivity are key determinants of lower GHG emissions. A conceptual Petri Net model illustrates alternative transition pathways, offering policy insights.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本では、SSBJ開示やGX推進政策が進む中、EUの多様な移行経路の実証分析は、日本の地域間格差や政策設計に示唆を与える。特に、再生可能エネルギーと資源生産性の重要性は、日本のエネルギー政策や資源循環戦略に参考となる。

In the global GX context

This paper contributes to global GX scholarship by providing a comprehensive empirical framework for analyzing sustainability transitions across heterogeneous EU member states. Its findings on the role of renewables and resource productivity in reducing emissions are relevant for international policy design, complementing TCFD/ISSB-aligned disclosure efforts with macro-level transition evidence.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a multi-method framework (clustering, transition matrices, panel econometrics) for analyzing sustainability transitions, useful for comparative studies.

🏢実務担当者:Highlights the importance of renewable energy and resource efficiency for emissions reduction, informing corporate sustainability strategy.

🏛政策担当者:Offers evidence on regime persistence and key drivers of emissions, supporting policy design for sustainable transition in the EU and beyond.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Sustainable development has become a strategic priority for the European Union in response to climate change, resource constraints and environmental degradation. Despite common policy objectives, Member States exhibit substantial differences in sustainability performance and transition capacities. This study investigates sustainable development pathways in the European Union using an integrated framework combining cluster analysis, transition analysis, panel econometrics and a conceptual Petri Net model. The empirical analysis is based on a balanced panel dataset covering the 27 EU Member States during the period 2015–2024. K-means clustering was employed to identify sustainable development regimes, transition matrices were used to evaluate regime persistence, and panel data models were estimated to examine the determinants of environmental performance measured through greenhouse gas emissions per capita. The results confirm the existence of four distinct sustainable development regimes characterized by different combinations of economic performance, environmental pressure and resource efficiency. Transition analysis confirms heterogeneous transition dynamics characterized by a generally high degree of regime persistence, while only a limited number of countries experienced regime changes during the study period. The econometric findings confirm that renewable energy deployment and resource productivity are the principal determinants associated with lower greenhouse gas emissions. Based on these results, a Petri Net framework was developed to represent alternative sustainability pathways and transition mechanisms. The integrated analytical framework confirms that combining sustainability regime identification, transition dynamics, panel econometric modelling and conceptual Petri Net representation provides a more comprehensive understanding of sustainable development pathways in the European Union. The findings provide relevant insights for policymakers seeking to support the transition towards more sustainable development trajectories in the European Union.

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